The Miami Heat have all but closed out the Southeast Division for the 2021-22 season with a lead of 9.5 games over both Charlotte and Atlanta. Is there a chance of a massive upset at all? Odds Shark breaks down the NBA Southeast Division odds below.
According to the NBA Southeast Division odds at Betway, the Heat are the clear favorites (-100000) to win the division, followed by the Charlotte Hornets (+3300) and Atlanta Hawks (+3300).
NBA Southeast Division Betting Odds
Odds as of February 22 at Betway
Favorites To Win The Southeast Division
There is one clear and apparent favorite to win the Southeast Division.
Miami Heat (-100000)
The Heat are the only team in the Southeast Division to have a win percentage of over .500. And with the Heat, you’d expect nothing less. They raced away to a 38-21 record by the all-star break, tied for the best in the East along with the Chicago Bulls.
“I remember in the beginning of December when we were back in the standings, it seemed like a little bit out of reach, but guys continued to grind,” coach Erik Spoelstra said. “It’s been a unique season because of all the revolving doors, and I just really commend our group.”
The Heat won six of seven games leading up to the all-star break, pushing themselves 9.5 games ahead of Charlotte and Atlanta in the Southeast standings. As a result, their NBA Southeast Division odds of -100000 are probably fair considering how quickly this season will close down after the break.
The Heat are unlikely to have such a drastic drop in form that they give Charlotte or Atlanta an opportunity to make up ground in the division standings. That is especially true considering the Heat are for the most part a healthy team. They may not win the East but they also could certainly finish atop the conference standings at the end of the regular season.
How have the Heat built their success? Consistency. They have five players averaging over 10 points per game, with Jimmy Butler leading the scoring with 21.8 points per game. Bam Adebayo is averaging a double-double of 18.6 points and 10.2 boards. This team will not be easy to overcome in the postseason even for some of the mightier teams in the East.
Value Pick To Win The Southeast Division
The opportunity has probably passed but there are still some lucrative options should Miami suffer a sudden and drastic dip in form.
Charlotte Hornets (+3300)
The Hornets were certainly making a strong bid for the top of the Southeast Division standings but those chances were broken with a run of nine losses in 10 games leading up to the all-star break. Suddenly, the Hornets are below .500 for the season, presently at 29-31.
“Yeah, we need this (break),” Hornets coach James Borrego said before the pause. “It will be great for us, get away from everything and just refresh and get ready for that final stretch run. Try to get some healthy bodies and get guys back and ready to go.”
The Hornets have been sensational on the offensive end this season, averaging 113.8 points per game to lead the NBA. That number is skewed by a few monster performances but that should not take away from a fundamental improvement in the way the Hornets have played offensively.
The other side of that coin is the breakdown of their defense. In this poor run of form, the Hornets have conceded at least 100 in all 10 games and more than 110 points eight times. Still, this win percentage of .483 is their best in the last five seasons. While there are areas where urgent improvement needs to be made, the Hornets won’t be pushed around after the all-star break.
Atlanta Hawks (+3300)
The Hawks beat Cleveland and Orlando to pick up some momentum just before the break, which also pushed them level with Charlotte with a .483 win percentage this season (28-30). Still, they lost four of seven games that led up to the break, which put them a bit too far behind the Heat in the Southeast Division standings.
“We understand exactly where we are and what we need to do,” coach Nate McMillan said. “We’re still in the race but we have to be better to finish the season and play ourselves into it. I thought our guys had good focus. They didn’t start this break before the game.”
The Hawks have had periods of middling form but an inability to stay consistent in closing out tight games has left them with plenty of work to do after the break. They will look to star shooter Trae Young to carry them into the postseason. Young has led the offense with 27.8 points and 9.3 assists per game in a little over 34 minutes per night.
Overall, offensively, the Hawks have averaged 112.2 points per game, eighth in the league. In terms of ball movement, they have managed 24.4 assists, which is 14th in the NBA. Offense is not an issue but the defense certainly seems to be.
The Heat should comfortably close out the Southeast Division. However, if you are an experienced bettor, you will know that teams have lost from far better positions. That is where the value of Charlotte and Atlanta may come into play in this market.
The strategy here should not be too hard. Firstly, betting on the Heat to win the division does not make sense at these NBA Southeast Division odds. The only question to ask is whether there is value in a small investment on either Charlotte or Atlanta because if there is an upset, then the return on that risk is fantastic.
If it was not the Heat, then there would be a much easier argument for the underdogs. But I’m expecting this Miami team to continue to roll on even after the break. Personally, I would refrain from making a bet on this market till there is more clarity, which we could potentially have in the coming weeks.
Odds Shark will be back next month for an update to the NBA Southeast Division odds. The division could be close to done by then or there could be a major swing in the odds. Stay tuned to find out more.
Reading NBA Southeast Division Odds
At -1000, the Heat have a 90.91 percent chance of winning the division. If you were to lay down $100, you’d get a payout of $110 – you get your original money back, coupled with your prize of $10. On the other hand, the Wizards at +5000 have a 1.96 percent shot. That same $100 on them gives you $5,100 – your $100 is returned along with your winnings of $5,000.
Our Odds Calculator will give you an idea of what you’d win based on the amount bet and odds offered.
What Is A Divisional Futures Bet On The NBA?
A futures bet is any wager made weeks or even months in advance of a certain event. In this case, the bet is on a team to win the Southeast.
The odds are set before the season starts but will shift as games are played, injuries happen and trades take place. When you see odds you like, take them early. Getting a team at plus money (+) instead of minus money (-) will give you more value on your bet should you win.
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