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NBA Betting: Spurs Heat

San Antonio looks to cover the Spurs-Heat pointspread on Friday and improve its overall 50-11 mark when they host Miami in NBA action. The projected score in our computer points to a possible SU win for Miami, which would make the NBA moneyline the best bet.

But the safest bet might be on the total tonight. The last seven times the Spurs (50-11, 35-24-2 ATS) have faced Miami (43-18, 28-32-1 ATS), the UNDER has prevailed. That's right, seven consecutive UNDERs and the best under line today was 195.5, -108 at 5Dimes.

View Miami vs San Antonio Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Sportsbooks had the Spurs installed as 1.5-point favorites in this particular matchup. The over-under number was listed by most sportsbooks at 196.5.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Power Rankings at Odds Shark have the No. 2-rated Heat taking on the No. 5-rated Spurs in this contest. Computer models indicate a possible 107-106 win for the Heat on Friday.

How They Match Up:
When it comes to rebounds, the visiting Heat rank No. 7 in the league with 42.7 per game. That compares with San Antonio’s No. 9 ranking in that category. The story is different when it comes to three-point shooting where San Antonio is the NBA’s No. 6-ranked team at 8.2 per game, while the Heat rate No. 11 with 6.6 per contest.

In comparing how the teams stack up statistically, the Heat own the league's No. 5-rated mark, allowing 94.8 points per game when on the road. San Antonio, on the other hand, rates No. 6 in home scoring.

Last time out for Miami, they were a 99-96 loser as they battled the Magic at home. The Heat failed to cover in the match as a 5-point favorite, while 195 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. LeBron James went off for 29 points and added 6 rebounds but it wasn't enough as Orlando defeated Miami, 99-96 at AmericanAirlines Arena.

In their last action, San Antonio was a 109-99 winner on the road against the Cavaliers. They covered the 9–point spread as favorites, while the combined score (208) was profitable news for OVER bettors. The Spurs grabbed a 109-99 win over the Cavaliers on Wednesday, behind a 22-point effort from George Hill at Quicken Loans Arena.

Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Friday are 8-2
Before playing Chicago are 5-5
After playing Orlando are 7-3
After a loss are 6-4

San Antonio Spurs Trends:
When playing on Friday are 5-5
Before playing LA Lakers are 7-3
After playing Cleveland are 8-2
After a win are 6-4
A few Heat at Spurs trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami's last 10 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Miami is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Miami is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Miami
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Antonio is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of San Antonio's last 10 games when playing at home against Miami