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NBA Playoff Odds: Mavericks vs. Thunder

The Dallas Mavericks can take a commanding 3-1 series lead in the Western Conference Finals tonight if they can deliver another upset win over the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 4.

The Mavs won Game 3 93-87 as a 3-point road favorite. Dirk Nowitzki and Shawn Marion each netted 18 points for Dallas, while Russell Westbrook led the Thunder with 30 points.

View Dallas vs Oklahoma City Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
The Thunder are listed as 4.5-point favorites at most sportsbooks tracked by Odds Shark, with the total listed at 196.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Odds Shark Power Rankings have the Thunder at No. 8 and the Mavericks at No. 6 heading into this contest. Handicapping models run by the computers at Odds Shark project a 105-104 result in favor of the Mavericks.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Oklahoma City's No. 5-ranked offense (104.8 PPG) against a Mavericks defense that ranks No. 10 at 96 PPG. The Thunder have averaged 46.4% from the field per game, less than the Mavericks have managed so far this season (47.5% on average).

In comparing how the teams stack up statistically, the Mavericks own the league's No. 9-rated mark, allowing 96.8 points per game when on the road. Oklahoma City, on the other hand, rates No. 3 in home scoring.

Dallas won its last outing, a 93-87 result against the Thunder on May 21. The Mavericks covered in that game as a 3-point underdog, while the 180 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Dallas got 18 points from Dirk Nowitzki en route to a 93-87 victory over Oklahoma City on Saturday at Ford Center.

Dallas Mavericks Trends:
When playing on Monday are 7-3
Before playing Oklahoma City are 6-4
After playing Oklahoma City are 5-5
After a win are 8-2

Oklahoma City Thunder Trends:
When playing on Monday are 3-7
Before playing Dallas are 6-4
After playing Dallas are 9-1
After a loss are 9-1

A few Mavericks at Thunder trends to consider:
Dallas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games when playing at home against Dallas
Oklahoma City is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing Dallas
Oklahoma City is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games

Next up:
Dallas home to Oklahoma City, Wednesday, May 25
Oklahoma City at Dallas, Wednesday, May 25