On Wednesday night, the Oklahoma City Thunder (37-8) visit the Golden State Warriors (23-23) in a Western Conference primetime battle. These teams have split the season series to this point, and the Thunder will look to carry their momentum into this game, having won three of their last four games.
Can Steph Curry lead the Warriors to an upset win at home? Or will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s MVP candidacy continue in a dominant road victory? Let’s dive into the matchup and find out.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Odds
Preview: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors, 10 p.m. ET
| Team | Spread | Money | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder | -10 (-110) | -460 | O 225 (-110) |
| Golden State Warriors | +10 (-110) | +360 | U 225 (-110) |
Odds as of January 29, 2025 at Sportsbook
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors Expert Picks
Oklahoma City Thunder ATS -10 (-110)
After missing Tuesday’s game with a knee injury, Steph Curry is expected to suit up tonight on the second night of a back-to-back. Curry has been saddled with a massive burden on this Warriors team that lacks a secondary playmaker, which has taken a toll on his efficiency. He’s averaging just 22.3 points per game, which would be his lowest in an entire season since 2010.
Curry’s scoring troubles aren’t likely to be improved on Wednesday as the Warriors host the Thunder’s top-ranked defense. OKC paces the NBA in defensive rating, boasting a cadre of premier stoppers who can limit Curry’s impact tonight, including Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort, and Alex Caruso.
Jonathan Kuminga has taken on a significant role as a scorer for the Warriors this year, but he remains out with an ankle injury. Andrew Wiggins ranks second on the team with 17.2 points per game, and he’ll have to produce tonight for the Warriors to remain competitive. Golden State is also without Draymond Green, who is dealing with a calf injury, weakening a frontcourt that has struggled even with him active.
Golden State’s faltering rim protection should benefit Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, one of the league’s premier scorers and the odds-on favorite for MVP. SGA is averaging 32.1 points per game on gaudy 52.8% shooting. The Warriors lack the type of impact on-ball defense required to slow him down in this matchup. The Thunder have consistently succeeded in this role as a road favorite, going 11-7-2 ATS with a margin of victory of 12 points.
While Curry is always capable of an explosive outing, keeping the game closer than expected, the Thunder are the best-equipped team in the NBA to slow him down. Without much ancillary scoring and a frontcourt hampered by injury, the Warriors will struggle to keep this game close tonight.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors Player Prop
Isaiah Hartenstein OVER 22.5 Points + Rebounds (-120)
With Draymond Green and Jonathan Kuminga sidelined, the Warriors are severely shorthanded in the frontcourt. Recent opposing centers have dominated in this matchup, including Anthony Davis (36 points and 13 rebounds) and Domantas Sabonis (26 points and 18 rebounds).
In the most recent matchup between these teams, Isaiah Hartenstein finished with 14 points and 14 rebounds, and that was with a healthy frontcourt for the Warriors. Expect him to take advantage of this matchup tonight.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Trends
- Buddy Hield has failed to exceed 14.5 points + rebounds in five-straight games at home (eight points + rebounds/game average).
- The UNDER hit in 12 of the Warriors' last 15 games as an underdog.
- Cason Wallace has exceeded 2.5 assists in five of his last six games on the road (3.5 assists/game average).
