Our NBA experts Christopher Walder, Nick Holz, and David Caraviello are here throughout the playoffs offering up their spread, moneyline, OVER/UNDER, and player prop picks for all of the action.
A clean sweep is on the table as the Dallas Mavericks look to book their ticket to the Finals on Tuesday night by closing out the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 4 of the Western Conference finals at the American Airlines Center.
Let's take a closer look at all of our expert picks for this matchup.
(Related Link) 2024 NBA Playoff Series Prices
NBA Expert Picks Results: Conference Finals
| Expert | Record | Units |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Holz | 8-2 | 5.11 |
| David Caraviello | 4-3 | 0.78 |
| Christopher Walder | 5-9 | -3.85 |
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Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks Game 4 Preview & Picks
Matchup Page: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks, 8:30 p.m. ET
Same-Game Parlay: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks Game 4
| Team | Spread | Money | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Timberwolves | +2 (-110) | +125 | O 209.5 (-115) |
| Dallas Mavericks | -2 (-110) | -150 | U 209.5 (-105) |
Christopher Walder's Pick: Dallas Mavericks ATS -2 (-110)
The head injury to Dereck Lively II which he suffered in the second quarter of Game 3 is cause for concern, since his length and size are invaluable versus Minnesota's frontcourt, but it appears that he avoided a concussion which bodes well for his chances of returning to action sooner rather than later.
The Timberwolves actually outscored the Mavericks 74-73 the rest of the way after Lively II exited, but not by enough to think any momentum has shifted in their favor moving forward. Daniel Gafford performed admirably in his stead, and head coach Jason Kidd isn't opposed to going smaller since Defensive Player of the Year Rudy Gobert consistently gets beaten off the dribble and even on lobs around the rim.
It's been a minute since Dallas last held a 3-0 series lead heading into a Game 4, but it covered the spread and won SU the last two occurrences in 2006 and 2011, respectively. The Mavericks are also riding a five-game winning streak SU dating back to the second round against the No. 1-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder with just one failed cover during that span, and the last thing they'll want to do is inspire a Timberwolves squad which just overcame a 3-2 deficit to eliminate the reigning champions by sending the series back to Target Center for a Game 5.
David Caraviello's Pick: Dallas Mavericks ATS -2 (-110)
Has Dallas dominated this series the way a 3-0 lead would suggest? Not quite, but the Mavericks have proven unstoppable in the final minutes, hitting every big shot to place them on the precipice of the NBA Finals.
Dallas has played great defense, exploited Minnesota’s youth, and covered all three games in this series--as well as 10 of its last 14 games in these playoffs. With a potential clincher looming Tuesday, no need for sports bettors to jump off the Mavs bandwagon now.
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Christopher Walder's Pick: OVER 209.5 Total Points (-115)
Trends are trends for a reason and should be followed accordingly, so take notice of the fact that the OVER has been nailed in each game this series by at the very least six points.
Four of Dallas' last six home games this postseason have reached the OVER, as well. The 209.5 prop total is the highest of the series, but the end results of the first three matchups would still have easily surpassed that mark.
Nick Holz's Pick: Dallas Mavericks ATS -2 (-110)
Luka and Kyrie will aim to close out the Timberwolves from the friendly confines of the American Airlines Center tonight. That bodes well for the Mavericks as home teams not facing elimination have gone a stellar 10-4 ATS in their last 14 NBA Conference Finals Game 4's.
To put the nail in the coffin, Conference Finals hosts' who won Game 3 are on a 7-3 SU & ATS run in Game 4. I've been on the Mavericks as an NBA Championship contender for awhile now, and love Jason Kidd's squad to close out the series in Game 4.
