The Toronto Raptors-Miami Heat semifinal series was originally an intriguing battle of dominant big men, but the tone has changed significantly thanks to injuries to Jonas Valanciunas and Hassan Whiteside. Valanciunas suffered a sprained ankle in Game 3 and will miss the rest of the series, while Whiteside is day-to-day with a sprained medical collateral ligament in his right knee.
- The Raptors are 6-0 SU in their last six games with a closing total of 190.0 or less.
- The Heat are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games with a closing total of 190.0 or less.
- The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Raptors' last 10 games with one day off between games.
Whiteside is listed as questionable for Monday night’s Game 4. Toronto leads 2-1 after coming out on top 95-91 on Saturday. The re-emergence of Kyle Lowry fuelled the Raptors’ win, as he went 11-for-19 from the field en route to a 33-point performance. Before the game, Lowry was making history for his poor shooting percentage in the postseason.
The loss of Valanciunas is a significant one for Toronto. The Raps outscored Miami by 41 points when the Lithuanian was on the floor in the first three games of the series, but the Heat have outscored the Dinos by 39 when he’s been on the bench.
The Raptors, who opened as 5.5-point underdogs, have been a fantastic play in this spot. Toronto is 8-1 in its last nine when tabbed as dogs of 5.5 points or more.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
Miami Heat opened as -6-point favorites at online sportsbook Sportsbook, while the NBA total line was sitting around 187.5 at Sportsbook for those who prefer OVER/UNDER betting on the total amount of points scored.
Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 102-89 win for the Heat. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NBA matchups here.
Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
The Miami Heat sport a record of 53-39 and 49-42-1 ATS heading into this matchup, while the Toronto Raptors sit at 62-30 and 47-44-1 ATS on the NBA season. The OVER/UNDER totals betting records are 37-54-1 for the Miami Heat and 45-45-2 for the Toronto Raptors. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Miami vs Toronto injuries news.
This game pits the Miami Heat, currently No. 9 in the Odds Shark NBA Power Rankings, against the Toronto Raptors, who rate No. 6 in the most recent survey update.
Statistical Matchup
The game also pits Miami's No. 23-ranked offense averaging 99.82 PPG, against a Toronto Raptors defense that ranks No. 4 at 97.76 PPG. The Miami Heat field goal percentage has averaged 46.96% so far, more than the Toronto Raptors shooters have achieved on the year, 44.61% per game.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
Toronto got 33 points from Kyle Lowry en route to a 95-91 victory over Miami on Saturday at AmericanAirlines Arena.
- Toronto is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
- Toronto is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 11 games
- Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
- Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games
- Miami is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games at home
- Miami is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
Next Betting Matchups
Toronto home to Miami, Wednesday, May 11th
