Warriors vs Timberwolves Picks & Odds Today: Golden State's Struggles To Continue On Road

A pair of teams playing well below expectations in the Golden State Warriors and Minnesota Timberwolves will take the hardwood on Wednesday night, with the visiting Warriors entering as the six-point underdogs (-106) at the Target Center.

Here's a spread, moneyline, total, and player prop expert pick for this Western Conference matchup on January 15, 2025.

Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Odds

Preview: Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves, 9:30 p.m. ET

Odds as of January 15, 2025 at Sportsbook

Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Expert Picks

Minnesota Timberwolves ATS -6 (-114), ML (-245)

It's been anything but a Golden State of mind as of late for Stephen Curry and company, with the four-time champion saying after a recent road loss to the lowly Toronto Raptors that he doesn't want the front office to make any moves out of desperation ahead of the trade deadline and hinder the organization's future in an effort to right the ship. The Warriors have dropped 17 of their last 24 games after starting the season 12-3 and currently find themselves on the outside of the play-in tournament bracket in the West with a 19-20 record. 

Young pieces Jonathan Kuminga (right ankle sprain) and Brandin Podziemski (abdomen) remain sidelined due to injury, and as of Wednesday morning, all three of Draymond Green (illness), Kyle Anderson (hamstring), and Trayce Jackson-Davis (thumb) are listed as questionable versus Minnesota. All key rotational players are present and accounted for from the home side, though, and that will make matters even more difficult for a Golden State roster which ranks 29th in offense and 20th in defense across its last five games in which its gone 1-4. 

The Warriors are 4-10 SU and 5-9 ATS over their last 14 road outings after stringing together five-straight wins on both fronts away from the Chase Center. Wednesday marks the fifth time they've been a road underdog of six or more points, having gone 2-2 SU and ATS under such circumstances. The Timberwolves, meanwhile, have won four of their last five games SU, but are woeful in their own backyard with the worst ATS home record across the Association at 4-14 with six-straight failed covers. Their last three home outings were all separated by three or fewer points on the scoreboard, as well. 

Golden State has already taken two of three meetings with Minnesota already this season, but not having Kuminga and Podziemski this time around, on top of the questionable status' of several other key names, makes it difficult to trust the away team here. The Timberwolves are 8-1 at home when favored by six or more points, which bodes well for the moneyline, and the Warriors' lack of options should help the six-point spread be covered on a rare occasion. 

UNDER 215.5 Total Points (-110)

The last time a Warriors road game reached an OVER in the total market was on Nov. 10 of last year, meaning an UNDER has connected 12-straight times. Minnesota is only an even 9-9 in OVER/UNDER at home, as well, and with Golden State's offense drying up by the minute, taking the UNDER here makes too much sense.

Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Player Prop

Stephen Curry UNDER 4.5 Made 3-Pointers (+112)

Banking on Curry to not make a specific number of triples is asking for trouble, especially when factoring in that he's already gone OVER this number twice already this season against the Timberwolves. He has gone UNDER in three of his last four appearances and five of his last seven, though, and surely Minnesota's defense which ranks fifth overall will be zoned in on the Chef with Golden State lacking in viable scoring options.

The upside is strong here at plus money, especially if the Timberwolves can create some breathing room on the scoreboard and pull away early and often.

Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Trends

*all betting trends courtesy of Outlier