If you’re consistently betting OVERs in the NBA, you need to follow a simple recipe: find a club that lights up the scoreboard and defends like your men’s league team at the YMCA. In the early going of the season, that club is the Toronto Raptors.
The Raptors, who are currently fifth in the Eastern Conference at 8-6 SU, rank as the league’s second-best OVER bet at 10-4. Toronto has gone over the closing total in seven of its last eight games ahead of Wednesday’s tilt with James Harden and the high-flying Houston Rockets.
Oddsmakers are well aware of the firepower each team possesses, which is a big reason why the total opened at 219.5 at most shops. At the time of writing, it had been bet down to 217 at [custom:bodog-link].
What’s behind the Dinos’ recent OVER surge? For starters, the backcourt combination of Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan is once again carrying the squad to new heights. DeRozan is averaging an eye-popping 30.9 points per game – second in the Association behind Russell Westbrook – while Lowry has eclipsed the 24-point mark in four of Toronto’s past five affairs.
Jonas Valanciunas has been no slouch either. The Lithuanian big man is collecting 14.4 points and 9.9 rebounds per game while shooting a solid 57 percent from the field. Valanciunas is establishing himself as one of the better young centers in the NBA, and he’s creating headaches for opposing coaches in the process.
Toronto’s 108.1 PPG is sixth in the NBA, but they’re allowing an ugly 105.5 PPG (19th). The Raps are third in offensive rating (109.8) and 22nd in defensive rating (106.1).
Dwane Casey is a defensive-minded coach, and the Raptors defense has been prone to lapses on that end of the floor in recent seasons. They’ve also faced the daunting Golden State Warriors, Los Angeles Clippers and Cleveland Cavaliers in the last week. Things will turn around sooner rather than later.
But until the defense gets shored up, sports bettors would be wise to keep riding the OVER streak while they can.
Doc's Picks Service
Need more winning picks? Get $60 worth of premium member picks from Doc’s Sports – a recognized leader and trusted name in sports handicapping since 1971.