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Big West Tournament - Cal Poly Mustangs host UC Davis Aggies in college basketball action

UC Davis AggiesCal Poly Mustangs
March 14, 5:30 PM | Honda Center

UC Davis Aggies vs Cal Poly Mustangs Odds

14-16TEAM RECORD17-12

The Cal Poly Mustangs will try to cover the spread at Honda Center on Thursday when they get a visit from the UC Davis Aggies in NCAA basketball action.

This game is part of the Big West Tournament which will decide the conference champion and help decide March Madness seedings. The game is being played at Honda Center, which makes it technically a neutral site match.

The Aggies will try to spoil to the party on Thursday; they are 15-13-2 ATS against the number this season, while the Mustangs are 15-11-1 ATS. UC Davis is 11-16 on the totals; Cal Poly is 10-14.

View UC Davis vs Cal Poly Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Sportsbooks (including Bovada) had the Mustangs installed as 2-point favorites in this particular matchup earlier in the day. Also, watch for the opening over-under value at TopBet.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Mustangs rated this week at No. 243 and the Aggies sitting at No. 244. It may or may not play a role in Odds Shark score prediction modelling that produced a 71-68 result in favor of the Mustangs.

How They Match Up:
In the paint, the rebound battle will feature Cal Poly's No. 304-rated squad against UC Davis's No. 231-rated roster. And in long-range shooting, Cal Poly rates No. 71 in the country with 7.3 per game, while their foes tonight rank No. 15 nationally with 8.4 per match.

Defensively, UC Davis features the nation's No. 214-rated defense on the road, allowing 71.1 points per game. Cal Poly, meanwhile, comes in at No. 165 nationally in scoring at home.

In their last action, UC Davis was an 88-85 loser at home against UC Irvine. They failed to cover the 1-point spread as favorites. UC Davis suffered an 88-85 loss against UC Irvine on Saturday, getting 21 points from Corey Hawkins in a losing effort at UC Davis Pavilion.

Cal Poly won its last outing, a 62-60 result against CS Fullerton on March 9. They failed to cover in that game as a 9.5-point favorite. The Mustangs grabbed a 62-60 win over the Titans on Saturday, behind a 14-point effort from Chris Eversley at Mott Gymnasium.

UC Davis Aggies Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 3-7
After playing UC Irvine are 1-9
After a loss are 8-2

Cal Poly Mustangs Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 4-6
After playing CS Fullerton are 4-6
After a win are 7-3

A few Aggies at Mustangs trends to consider:
Cal Poly is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cal Poly is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing UC Davis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cal Poly's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cal Poly's last 6 games when playing UC Davis