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Upset-Minded Butler A Red-Hot OVER Play

Butler put the college basketball world on notice with its most recent victory over then No. 1-ranked Villanova but bettors should have been paying attention to the Bulldogs for nearly a month. Butler has gone OVER in its past seven outings thanks to an offense that is averaging 89.6 points in that span. Could another huge upset be in the works when Butler travels to take on the No. 5 Xavier Musketeers on Tuesday?

Shark Bites
  • Xavier G Trevon Bluiett averaged 22 points while shooting 43.3% in his past 2 vs Butler.
  • Butler is 1-5 SU and ATS in its last 6 games on the road against Xavier.
  • Xavier is 10-0 SU and 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home.

Butler’s offense has started to lean heavily toward the deep ball through the month of December, with the Bulldogs averaging 22 three-point attempts per game while draining them at a 42 percent rate. The emergence of George Washington transfer Paul Jorgensen has been a big reason for this offensive shift, as the guard paces the team in three-point percentage and is second in makes.

Xavier is riding an eight-game winning streak heading into this contest but it has not always been pretty. The Musketeers needed big comebacks vs East Tennessee State, Marquette and DePaul. Trevon Bluiett and J.P. Macura get the attention – and rightfully so – but Xavier features six other players who average at least 7.6 points per game.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Sportsbooks (including Bovada) had the Xavier Musketeers as 7-point favorites in this particular matchup earlier in the day. Also, watch for the opening OVER/UNDER total value at TopBet.

Butler Bulldogs vs Xavier Musketeers Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Xavier Musketeers sit at 14-1 (11-4 ATS) on the college basketball season. By comparison, the Butler Bulldogs are currently 12-3 (8-6 ATS). Looking to bet on the total points scored? Xavier is 10-5 OU, and Butler is 9-5 OU.

According to new college basketball power rankings here at OddsShark, it's the No. 44-ranked Musketeers and the No. 8-rated Bulldogs in this matchup.

Statistical Matchup

Rebounding is always a key handicapping betting consideration and Butler is ranked No. 173 in NCAA basketball at 35.27 per game. Contrast that with Xavier's No. 45 mark in the paint. When it comes to three-point shooting, Xavier is the No. 149-ranked team in the country at 7.53 treys per game, while Butler rates No. 134 at 7.87 per game.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Bulldogs grabbed a 101-93 win over the Wildcats on Saturday, behind a 24-point effort from Kelan Martin at Hinkle Fieldhouse.

J.P. Macura scored 19 points leading the Musketeers to a 77-72 victory over DePaul at Cintas Center on Saturday.

Betting Trends
  • Butler is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
  • Butler is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Butler's last 5 games
  • Butler is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Xavier is 18-5 ATS in its last 23 games
  • Xavier is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of Xavier's last 15 games
  • Xavier is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Butler home to Seton Hall, Saturday, January 6
Xavier at Providence, Saturday, January 6