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Cardinals face Kentucky Wildcats: NCAAB odds preview and stats

Louisville CardinalsKentucky Wildcats
Dec 31, 12:00 PM | Rupp Arena

Louisville Cardinals vs Kentucky Wildcats Odds


Louisville pays a visit to Kentucky on Saturday, hoping to send the Wildcats to a loss while covering the college basketball spread at Rupp Arena.

Kentucky will face the 12-1 Cardinals, who own a 4-5-1 ATS mark on the season. In totals betting, the Wildcats are 5-6 favoring the UNDER so far this season while the Cardinals are 3-6-1 favoring the OVER.

View Louisville vs Kentucky Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
The Cardinals are listed as 10.5-point underdogs at many online sportsbooks.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Wildcats - Cardinals odds would favor the Wildcats if the lines were set according to our power ranks. Kentucky is rated No. 4 in the current Odds Shark poll, while Louisville is at No. 43. Mathematical models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 92-83 win for the Wildcats.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Kentucky's No. 11 nationally ranked offense (82.5 points per game) against a Cardinals defense that sits as the No. 23 at 58 PPG. The Wildcats have been averaging 49.8% from the field, more than the Cardinals have managed so far this season (43.9% on average).

Defensively, Louisville features the nation's No. 4-rated defense on the road, allowing 53 points per game. Kentucky, meanwhile, comes in at No. 40 nationally in scoring at home.

In their last action, Louisville was a 71-68 loser at home against Georgetown. They failed to cover the 6.5–point spread as favorites. Louisville suffered a 71-68 loss against Georgetown on Wednesday, getting 17 points from Kyle Kuric in a losing effort at KFC Yum! Center.

Kentucky won its last outing, an 86-64 result against Lamar on December 28. They failed to cover in that game as a 22.5-point favorite. The battle between the Wildcats and Cardinals didn’t turn out to be much of a battle at all as Lamar was handed an 86-64 defeat on Wednesday at Rupp Arena.

Louisville Cardinals Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 3-7
Before playing St. John's are 5-4
After playing Georgetown are 6-2
After a loss are 8-2

Kentucky Wildcats Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 5-3
After playing Lamar are 0-1
After a win are 9-1

A few Cardinals at Wildcats trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisville's last 5 games when playing on the road against Kentucky
Louisville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Kentucky
Louisville is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Kentucky
Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Kentucky is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Kentucky's last 10 games when playing Louisville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kentucky's last 5 games when playing at home against Louisville

Next up:
Louisville at St. John's, Tuesday, January 3
Kentucky home to Arkansas-Little Rock, Tuesday, January 3