Mustangs may be in trouble vs formidable Bearcats

The SMU Mustangs hope a return to Moody Coliseum can reverse their recent tailspin when they host the No.6-ranked Cincinnati Bearcats. The Mustangs have dropped three of their last four games and will be in tough to take down the Bearcats, who are 11-0 in conference play this season.

SHARK BITES
  • SMU is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home.
  • Cincinnati is 4-2 ATS in its last six games on the road.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 13 of the Cincinnati’s last 15 games on the road.

Despite the Mustangs struggles, they’ve performed admirably at home this season at 13-1 SU. But bettors should exercise caution before backing SMU as the Mustangs will be without leading scorer Shake Milton, who is still recovering from a hand injury. At 5-6 SU in conference play this season, it’s hard to endorse a Mustangs victory due to their lack of firepower.

For Cincinnati, winning at Moody Coliseum has been an uphill battle. The Bearcats have lost three straight in SMU’s building and lost by an average of eight points in those games. But where Cincinnati excels is on the defensive end as its held teams to less than 60 points in four of its last five games. Bettors should also note that when the Bearcats are favored by less than 10 points, they’re 4-2 ATS in six games this season.

The total opened at 127 and an UNDER could be a profitable wager. The UNDER has hit in four of the Bearcats’ last five games and they held SMU to 56 points when they hosted the Mustangs in January. The UNDER has also hit in four of the last six games in this matchup.

Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick

On the Sportsbook NCAA basketball betting line for this matchup, Southern Methodist sat as 7-point underdogs over at Sportsbook. Also, check out the current over/under betting total for points scored, which often goes up first at online sportsbook Sportsbook

Cincinnati Bearcats vs Southern Methodist Mustangs Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Southern Methodist Mustangs battles the Cincinnati Bearcats, currently sitting with a 22-2 mark (14-9 ATS). The OVER/UNDER records, always important for totals betting, are 9-10 for the Southern Methodist Mustangs and 9-14 for the Cincinnati Bearcats.

The Mustangs - Bearcats odds would favor the Bearcats if the lines were set according to our power ranks. Southern Methodist is rated No. 55 in the current Odds Shark poll, while Cincinnati is at No. 2.

Statistical Matchup

When it comes to rebounds, the visiting Cincinnati Bearcats rank No. 10 in NCAA Basketball Division 1 with 40.5 per game. That compares with Southern Methodist’s No. 197 ranking in that category. The story is different when it comes to three-point shooting where Southern Methodist is college basketball's No. 60-ranked team at 8.88 per game, while the Cincinnati Bearcats rate No. 137 with 7.62 per game.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The battle between the Bearcats and Knights didn’t turn out to be much of a battle at all as Central Florida was handed a 77-40 defeat on Tuesday at BB.

The Mustangs endured a 67-58 loss at the hands of the Cougars on Thursday, despite a 17-point effort from Jahmal McMurray at Health and PE Arena.

Betting Trends
  • Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
  • Cincinnati is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Southern Methodist is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Southern Methodist is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
  • Southern Methodist is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
  • Southern Methodist is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Cincinnati at Houston, Thursday, February 15th
Southern Methodist at Memphis, Wednesday, February 14th

SMU is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home.home Cincinnati is 4-2 ATS in its last six games on the road.away The total has gone UNDER in 13 of the Cincinnati’s last 15 games on the road.away
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