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College basketball point spread favors Tar Heels in battle with Wolfpack

North Carolina State WolfpackNorth Carolina Tar Heels
14-7February 01, 2014, 01:00 | Dean Smith Center13-7

The North Carolina Tar Heels will hit the floor running against the visiting North Carolina State Wolfpack Saturday, looking to improve their record and boost wagering bankrolls in the process.

The Wolfpack will try to spoil to the party on Saturday; they are 9-9 ATS against the number this season, while the Tar Heels are 9-11 ATS. North Carolina State is 8-9-1 on the totals; North Carolina is 10-10.

View North Carolina State Wolfpack vs North Carolina Tar Heels Odds and Stats.

Sportsbooks (including Bovada) had the Tar Heels installed as -11.5-point favorites in this particular matchup earlier in the day. Also, watch for the opening over-under value at TopBet.

The Tar Heels sit at No. 80 in the current college hoops power poll here at Odds Shark, while the Wolfpack sit at No. 305 on the same chart.

Last time out for North Carolina State, they were a 74-70 winner as they battled Florida State at home. They covered in the match as a 2-point underdog. T.J. Warren poured in a team-high 30 points for North Carolina State on Wednesday, as they defeated Florida State 74-70 at PNC Arena.

In their last action, North Carolina was a 78-65 winner on the road against Georgia Tech. They covered the 4.5-point spread as favorites. Marcus Paige scored 19 points leading the Tar Heels to a 78-65 victory over Georgia Tech at Hank McCarmish Pavilion on Wednesday.

How They Match Up:
Scoring and defensive stats point to some edges in this matchup. The game features North Carolina's No. 71-ranked scoring average of 75.55 PPG, against a Wolfpack defense rated No. 127 and allowing 69.62 PPG. The Tar Heels FG% has averaged 45.77% to date this season, less than the Wolfpack shooters have managed so far (46.3% per game).

A few Wolfpack at Tar Heels trends to consider:
North Carolina State is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Carolina State's last 6 games on the road
North Carolina State is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing North Carolina
North Carolina State is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games when playing North Carolina
North Carolina is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina's last 5 games
North Carolina is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
North Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Next up:
North Carolina State at Miami, Saturday, February 8th
North Carolina at Maryland, Tuesday, February 4th