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Top-Seeded LSU and Florida Contest Rubber Match in SEC Quarters

Florida vs LSU Betting Odds

The No. 9 LSU Tigers begin their quest to win an SEC tournament title as they tip off against the Florida Gators at Bridgestone Arena in an SEC quarterfinal. Florida snapped its three-game slide with a 66-50 win over Arkansas yesterday, while LSU is seeking a sixth straight win. The Tigers and Gators split their two-game season series and LSU is a 3-point favorite with the total opening at 135 points.

Florida vs LSU Game Center

Standout Stats

  • LSU is 5-0 SU and ATS in its last five games with an average winning margin of eight, including a 79-78 win over Florida, but its last defeat was an 82-77 loss to Florida. The Gators slumped through the latter stages of the season, dropping three straight by an average losing margin of 5.33 points, but they earned a win yesterday.
  • The UNDER has been a reliable play for both teams recently as the total has gone UNDER in 10 of Florida’s last 12 and in five of LSU’s last nine. Over the Gators’ last 12 contests, three went OVER 135 points, but only one of the Tigers’ last nine went UNDER 135. The two played to combined scores of 159 and 157 in their two meetings in the regular season, but both games went to overtime.
  • The Gators struggled on offense this season, ranking 273rd by averaging just 68.2 points per game, while the Tigers had the No. 10 offense at 81.6 ppg. However, on the defensive side of the ball, LSU sits 200th with 72.9 ppg surrendered and Florida ranks 15th with 63.3 ppg given up.
  • These teams earn their offense from different areas of the floor as LSU picks up 52.9 percent of its scoring from two-point range, which is the 68th-highest percentage, while Florida gets 36.1 percent of its points from beyond the arc, the 71st-highest ratio. Defensively, the Gators rank 103rd in opponent two-point shooting percentage at 48.5, while the Tigers rank 171st with foes shooting 34.3 percent from downtown.
  • LSU has a massive advantage on the glass, ripping down 38.7 boards per game compared to Florida’s 33.7. However, the Tigers average 13.2 giveaways per game which puts them 189th in the nation and the Gators rank 28th with 15.2 takeaways created per game.

My Best Bet for Florida vs LSU

Florida +3

LSU will be without head coach Will Wade and potentially its fourth-best scorer in freshman guard Javonte Smart, who averaged 9.5 points in the two games vs Florida. The Tigers have the edge offensively, but the Gators are much better defensively. I think these teams match up really well, going to overtime in their first two meetings, and with all the controversy surrounding the Tigers right now, I’ll take the Gators and the points.

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