Either a 10 seed or an 11 seed will make the Elite Eight and this game between Florida State and Virginia Commonwealth will decide which one.
The Seminoles pulled a pair of upsets while VCU needed to win a play-in game as well as pull consecutive upsets to get here.
VCU has looked very tough, but are 4-point underdogs here. At 10/1 to win the Southwest Region at Sportsbook, they seem great value as beating FSU would lead to a battle with Kansas for the title.
View Virginia Commonwealth vs Florida State Odds and Stats.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game puts the Seminoles, most recently No. 18 in the Odds Shark power rankings, up against the Rams, who rate No. 192 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and computer-based handicapping simulations run on this game predict a potential 75-72 victory for the Seminoles.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Florida State's No. 163-ranked offense, averaging 69 PPG, against a Rams defense that ranks No. 138 at 66.8 PPG. The Seminoles field goal percentage has averaged 43.7% so far, more than the Rams marksmen have achieved on the year, 43.6% per game.
Comparing how these foes stack up statistically, Virginia Commonwealth owns the country's No. 89-rated mark, allowing 67.7 points per game on the highway. Florida State, on the other hand, rates No. 240 in scoring at home.
Virginia Commonwealth was a 94-76 Sportsbook in its last match against Purdue. They covered the 9.5–point spread as underdogs.
In their last action, Florida State was a 71-57 Sportsbook on the road against Notre Dame. They covered the 4.5–point spread as underdogs. The Seminoles grabbed a 71-57 win over the Fighting Irish on Sunday, behind a 14-point effort from Bernard James at United Center.
Virginia Commonwealth Rams Trends:
When playing on Friday are 7-3
After a win are 6-4
Florida State Seminoles Trends:
When playing on Friday are 4-6
After a win are 5-5
A few Rams at Seminoles trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida State's last 7 games
Florida State is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
