The ninth-ranked Kansas Jayhawks (12-2 SU, 7-7 ATS) hope to bounce back from a disappointing offensive performance when they host the 15th-ranked Iowa State Cyclones (13-2, 9-6) on Tuesday as double-digit home favorites at sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark. The Jayhawks were held to a season-low point total on Saturday in a 75-67 loss to the Texas Tech Red Raiders as 7-point road chalk.
Opening Odds Analysis
In early wagering action, bettors have sided with visiting Iowa State, dropping the point spread down to -12.5 in favor of Kansas. The Jayhawks have had a relatively easy time in this matchup recently, riding a four-game series winning streak, but they failed to cover the spread in six straight previous meetings between 2017 and 2019. The spread may still be a bit too high, but time will certainly tell as it gets closer to tipoff on Tuesday night.
Iowa State News & Notes
After a 12-0 start, the Cyclones have dropped two of their last three games, with their latest defeat coming Saturday against the Oklahoma Sooners. Iowa State fell 79-66 at Oklahoma as a 6.5-point road underdog and has also failed to cover the spread in two straight.
The Cyclones are listed as underdogs for the third time in four games now, after they were favored in eight of their first 12 games. That speaks to the level of Iowa State’s early competition compared to the team’s current conference slate that will see the school play ranked opponents five times in six games.
If the Cyclones want to stay in the Top 25, they will need to be more competitive and find a way to win away from home.
Kansas News & Notes
Bad shooting has doomed Kansas in both losses this season, but the team nearly rallied back to beat Texas Tech.
The Jayhawks were never able to get over the hump, though, and take the lead in the second half, getting as close as four points with 1:12 remaining. They trailed 33-25 at halftime and held their last lead at 21-19 about 13 minutes into the game.
Kansas leading scorer Ochai Agbaji admitted following the game that he and his teammates were “just not really being the aggressor” and “playing a step behind” – something they will need to change in order to become true national title contenders. The good news for them is that they have a short turnaround for a rebound.
How Iowa State Will Cover
Iowa State can play great defense, and that was evident in the team’s 51-47 win over Texas Tech last Wednesday. The Cyclones beat the Red Raiders at their own game, and they can do the same thing here if they can force their opponent to shoot poorly yet again.
How Kansas Will Cover
Kansas is at its best when running up and down the court, being more aggressive and dictating the tempo. The Jayhawks have won the past four meetings both SU and ATS by doing just that, averaging nearly 83 points in winning those by an average of over 23 points.
Computer Pick: Cyclones +11.5
For more college basketball predictions, visit our NCAAB Computer Picks page.
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