The Kentucky Wildcats are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games against the LSU Tigers, but the Tigers hold an 8-3 ATS advantage in the last 11 games of this series. Kentucky would earn an ATS win with a victory on Tuesday as the Wildcats are slight underdogs on the road.
- Date/Time: February 18, 9 p.m. ET
- Arena: Pete Maravich Assembly Center
- TV Coverage: ESPN
- Sportsbook Odds: LSU -1.5 | O/U 152.5
- Kentucky vs LSU Matchup Report
Sportsbook Odds Analysis
While there has been slight movement in the game line with LSU moving to -2.5 after Sportsbook at -1.5, the much bigger story in this game has been the movement of the total. Bettors have absolutely hammered the UNDER on the game’s Sportsbook total of 152.5, moving the line down a full 7 points to 145.5. The last matchup between these two teams in 2019 went UNDER the posted total of 149 when LSU defeated the Wildcats 73-71 in Kentucky.
Kentucky News & Notes
Kentucky failed to cover the spread for the first time in its last four games in Saturday’s 67-62 win over the Ole Miss Rebels, but with the win the Wildcats moved to 8-1 SU over their last nine games and 4-0 SU over their last four. Sophomore Immanuel Quickley has been on an offensive tear over the team’s 12-2 SU and 8-6 ATS run over the last 14 games, averaging 17.8 points per game during that stretch.
Overall, the Wildcats have played quite well on the road this season. In seven road games, Kentucky is 5-2 both SU and ATS.
LSU News & Notes
LSU will be extremely happy to return home on Tuesday night. The Tigers have fallen out of the AP Top 25 with losses in three of their last four games, all coming on the road. In those three road losses, LSU allowed a whopping 92.7 points per game. In their last seven games at home, the Tigers have only allowed 70.3 points per game en route to a 7-0 SU and 2-5 ATS record.
The Tigers rank 14th in the nation on offense this season, averaging 80.8 points per game. Five different Tigers are averaging over 11 points, led by senior Skylar Mays, who is racking up 16.5 points per game on the year and 25.7 over his last three outings.
Betting Pick: OVER 145.5
The line move toward the UNDER makes sense in this one as it figures to be an extremely competitive game for first place in the SEC. But seven of the last 10 games between these two teams have gone OVER the posted total, and at its new spot at 145.5, the OVER suddenly has some value in this one.
- LSU is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games vs Kentucky.
- The OVER is 4-1 in LSU’s last 5 games.
- The OVER is 10-5 in Kentucky’s last 15 games.
