Rarely is the 7 seed considered the higher seed in March Madness action and it has never happened at the Final Four stage.
So when Monday’s final game carries with it a betting trend that has seen the higher-seeded team go on an 8-2 streak both SU and ATS in national finals, it must be taken with a grain of salt.
The favorites are also on a 7-2-1 ATS run in the past 10 title games and never has an 8-seed been favored this late in the tournament. Kentucky enjoys that Sportsbook respect Monday.
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For totals bettors who figure teams throw caution to the wind and score like crazy, beware the trend towards UNDERs. Since 2005, the past 19 games at this phase of the tournament have seen a 12-6-1 trend.
If an 8 vs 7 showdown seems like an odd matchup, it’s just the second time since 1996 it has happened. No. 8 UNC defeated Tulsa 59-55 in the Elite Eight of 2000. [ See dozens of UConn vs Kentucky props ]
Check out some national championship game trends courtesy of Odd Shark. The computer is predicting a 70-69 win for UConn.
Kentucky -2.5 vs UConn (134.5) (line at Sportsbook):
Kentucky UConn betting trends for Monday . . .
UConn is 3-1 SU in four games vs Wildcats since 2006
Kentucky 11-0 SU, 8-1-2 ATS past 11 tournament games
Kentucky is 8-2 SU in Final Four games since 1996
UConn is 6-1 SU and ATS past seven games as underdogs
UConn is 10-2 ATS past 12 tournament games
UConn is 7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS in Final Four games since 1999