No. 5-ranked Duke aims for fourth win in a row vs Louisville

The No. 5-ranked Duke Blue Devils opened as a double-digit favorite at home vs Louisville as they approach the final leg of conference play in the ACC. The Blue Devils are 14-1 SU at home this season with their only loss to No. 1-ranked Virginia.

SHARK BITES
  • Duke is 7-5 ATS when favored by 10 points or more this season.
  • Duke is 12-0 SU in its last 12 games with two days off between games.
  • Louisville is 5-0-1 ATS in its last six games on the road.

Louisville has had the season from hell with all of the scandals and recent penalties handed down by the NCAA. As a result, Louisville has been a tough sell for bettors this season and at 3-5 SU on the road, this isn’t a Cardinals squad you can trust to upset top teams in the country like in years past. Another trend that doesn’t bode well for Louisville is the visiting team is 0-3 SU in the last three games in this matchup.

Duke has gone on a nice run recently despite its top player being sidelined with a knee injury. Since Marvin Bagley III started sitting out, Duke has gone 3-0 SU and ATS, including road wins vs Georgia Tech and No. 15-ranked Clemson.

One of the main reasons has been the play of freshman Wendell Carter Jr., who has been a beast on the boards and has notched a double-double in points and rebounds in eight of his last 11 games. But although Carter and the rest of the Blue Devils can be a dominant team, they haven’t been a reliable spread bet at home recently at 2-4 ATS in their last six games.

The total opened 157.5 and an OVER could be the profitable angle in this matchup. The Blue Devils are the highest-scoring team in the ACC and they have scored 85 points or more in 13 of their 15 home games this season.

Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick

The Louisville Cardinals were listed as 12-point underdogs at many online sportsbooks, including the oddsmakers at Sportsbook.

Louisville Cardinals vs Duke Blue Devils Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Supporters of the Louisville Cardinals have watched them go 18-9 and 13-11-1 ATS on the college basketball season, while the Duke Blue Devils are at 22-5 and 16-10 ATS. In totals betting, the Blue Devils are 16-10, while the Cardinals have a 16-9 mark.

The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Blue Devils rated this week at No. 28 and the Cardinals sitting at No. 149.

Statistical Matchup

Scoring and defensive stats point to some betting edges in this matchup. The game features Duke's No. 2-ranked scoring average of 87.37 PPG, against a Louisville defense rated No. 91 and allowing 69.85 PPG. The Blue Devils FG% has averaged 50.06% to date this season, more than the Cardinals shooters have managed so far (46.18% per game).

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Cardinals endured a 93-76 loss at the hands of the Tar Heels on Saturday, despite a 20-point effort from Deng Adel at KFC Yum Center.

The Blue Devils got 19 points from Grayson Allen as Duke ran past Clemson 66-57 on Sunday at Littlejohn Coliseum.

Betting Trends
  • Louisville is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Louisville is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games
  • Louisville is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Louisville's last 8 games
  • Duke is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Duke is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Duke's last 9 games
  • Duke is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Louisville at Virginia Tech, Saturday, February 24
Duke at Syracuse, Saturday, February 24

Duke is 7-5 ATS when favored by 10 points or more this season.home Duke is 12-0 SU in its last 12 games with two days off between games.home Louisville is 5-0-1 ATS in its last six games on the road.away
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