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Duke Failing To Cover Within Conference

There has been more than one reason why Duke has not been as dominant this season as usual, but their play within the ACC is a big piece of the puzzle. The Blue Devils are 6-4 SU within the conference this season and have been worse for bettors as they are 2-5 ATS in the past seven ACC games. Duke will try to climb back into the Top 25 when they host the Louisville Cardinals on Monday.

Shark Bites
  • Duke is 4-0 SU and ATS in their past four games when favored by 4.5 points or less.
  • Louisville is 0-5 ATS in their past five road games.
  • The OVER is 6-2 in Duke’s past eight home games.

In case you haven’t heard, Louisville is in all sorts of trouble. The Cardinals banned themselves from postseason play while the NCAA investigates the allegations concerning Rick Pinito and the hiring of escorts for recruitment. Louisville will be hoping to see Damion Lee back in the lineup Monday as the senior missed the team’s last game due to a bruised knee.

Grayson Allen has taken exception to Duke being dropped from the Top 25 for the first time since 2007, as the sophomore has averaged 27.5 points while shooting 53.6 percent from the floor in the past two games. The Blue Devils are 0-2 SU and ATS this season when facing ranked teams while being outscored by 11 points in each game.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Odds makers at sportsbooks such as Bovada had set the Duke Blue Devils as -4.5-point favorites on the opening betting line for this contest. The betting line may have moved, check for updates at shops such as MyBookie.

Louisville Cardinals vs Duke Blue Devils Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Duke Blue Devils bring a 17-6 record (11-11 ATS) to this tilt against the 18-4 Cardinals, who are 9-9 ATS. Those OVER/UNDER betting have witnessed Duke go 12-10 so far and the Louisville Cardinals go 8-10.

The Duke Blue Devils sit at No. 75 in the current college hoops power poll here at Odds Shark, while the Louisville Cardinals sit at No. 30 on the same chart.

Statistical Matchup

Rating these schools in several key categories is important for handicappers and Duke has the nation's No. 5-rated offensive output, at 84.83 PPG. The visiting Louisville Cardinals defense ranks No. 4 allowing on average 59.83 PPG. The Blue Devils FG% has averaged 47.79% so far, less than the Duke Cardinals marksmen have achieved on the year, 48.34% per game.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Cardinals blew out Boston College on Saturday, running up a 20+ point victory in a 79-47 win at KFC Yum! Center.

Grayson Allen scored 28 points leading the Blue Devils to a 88-80 victory over North Carolina State at Cameron Indoor Stadium on Saturday.

Betting Trends
  • Louisville is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
  • Louisville is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
  • Louisville is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Louisville is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games on the road
  • Duke is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Duke is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
  • Duke is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Duke's last 8 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Louisville at Notre Dame, Saturday, February 13th
Duke at Virginia, Saturday, February 13th