The LSU Tigers (15-2 SU, 13-4 ATS) are 2-14 SU and 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 road games against the Alabama Crimson Tide (11-6, 7-10). The Tigers will try to end their road woes in Alabama as the underdog in Wednesday night’s Tigers vs Crimson Tide prediction.
Tigers vs Crimson Tide Odds & Analysis
The Crimson Tide opened as 2.5-point favorites at home in this SEC matchup and have since moved up to Alabama -3.5. Many Tigers vs Crimson Tide predictions call for a high-scoring game as the total has been bet all the way up to 150 points after opening at 145.5 points. The OVER is 8-3-1 in the last 12 games between the Crimson Tide and Tigers.
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LSU Has Performed Well ATS This Season
The Tigers couldn’t find their rhythm on offense in a 65-58 loss at home to the Arkansas Razorbacks on Saturday. LSU shot just 38.2 percent from the field and 26.3 percent from three-point range in the loss. The defeat came out of nowhere as LSU had been one of the nation’s most consistent bets prior to Saturday with a 15-1 SU and 13-3 ATS record through its first 16 games.
LSU’s consistently strong play has been the result of a solid offense averaging 75.1 points per game and an elite defense that ranks fifth in the nation in allowing only 57 points per game. Bettors selecting LSU as their Tigers vs Crimson Tide prediction can count on a strong performance in the backcourt and just need the offense to do its part.
Alabama Has Slowed Down Considerably After Hot Start
The Crimson Tide led the Mississippi State Bulldogs 41-37 at the half on Saturday and still held a lead with under eight minutes to go in the game. But eventually the Bulldogs took control and came away with the 78-76 win as 1.5-point home favorites, handing Alabama its third straight loss. Alabama is now 3-5 SU and 1-7 ATS over its last eight games since opening the 2021-22 season with an 8-1 SU and 6-3 ATS record.
Jaden Shackelford (16.2 points per game) and Jahvon Quinerly (14.8) lead the way on a Crimson Tide offense that ranks 14th in the nation averaging 81.8 points per game. Poor defense holds this team back from being one of the nation’s best, however. Alabama is allowing 74.6 points per game and has allowed an average of 83.7 points over its current 0-3 SU and ATS slump.
Tigers vs Crimson Tide Pick & Insights
Tigers: Keys To Cover
Even with one of the nation’s best defenses, it stands to reason that Alabama’s high-octane offense will score its fair share of points at home. To pull off the upset or cover the spread as a winning Tigers vs Crimson Tide pick, LSU will likely need Tari Eason and Darius Days to have good days on offense.
Crimson Tide: Keys To Cover
Home court should play a heavy role in taking Alabama in a Tigers vs Crimson Tide prediction. The Crimson Tide are 17-1 SU in their last 18 home games and can add another home win to that record by breaking through on LSU’s stingy defense with good shots and crowd energy.
Odds Shark’s Computer Tigers vs Crimson Tide Prediction: LSU +3.5
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