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2019 March Madness: Best Bets

March Madness Best Bets

The regular season and conference tournaments are in the books and we have our teams that will be competing for the 2019 national championship – it’s time for March Madness! We have everything you need to know to make educated wagers this year and rake in against your sportsbook, even if your bracket is busted.

This page will be updated daily with the trends that are occurring in this year’s bracket and we will also have the best bets for each game in March Madness coming from Odds Shark college hoops betting analyst Scott Hastings.

So far, Scott is 37-30 with his best bets, and the favorites have gone 49-18 SU and 33-34 ATS, with the OVER/UNDER going 35-31-1.

View the entire March Madness schedule and our handy MM blueprint done by Joe Osborne as well as our March Madness contest where you can earn some cold hard cash.

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My Best Bet for Monday, April 8

Texas Tech vs Virginia

Scott’s Pick: Virginia -1.5

Both teams rely on their defensive skills to win games, and the Cavaliers’ defense is just a notch above the Raiders’. Virginia averages more rebounds than Texas Tech by nearly one board per game. The Red Raiders are very good at creating turnovers for extra offensive opportunities but that may be thwarted in this game as the Cavs average the fewest giveaways per game. Overall, I think Virginia is the better team and will be the squad cutting down the nets for the national title.

My Best Bets for Saturday, April 6

Auburn vs Virginia

Scott’s Pick: Auburn +5.5

Virginia is coming off an Elite Eight matchup against Purdue, a team that relied on three-point shooting for a good portion of its scoring and was able to pour in 75 points against the Cavs. Auburn shoots more threes and at a better percentage than Purdue, so I think it can really put the pressure on Virginia. Additionally, the Tigers proved in their Elite Eight game vs Kentucky that they can win a slower-paced game, which could be how this match plays out.

Texas Tech vs Michigan State

Scott’s Pick: Michigan State -2.5

The Spartans’ versatile gameplay has proven difficult for opponents to overcome and I expect these difficulties to continue for the Red Raiders. Additionally, Michigan State head coach Tom Izzo has been in the Final Four seven times previously with this program and his experience should definitely be acknowledged. The Spartans have a better offense and a nearly identical defense and should be able to advance to the national championship game for the first time since 2008-09.

My Best Bets for Sunday, March 31

Auburn vs Kentucky

Scott’s Pick: Kentucky -4.5

I may have leaned toward Auburn in this matchup had sophomore forward Chuma Okeke not suffered a knee injury in its 90-87 win over North Carolina in the Sweet 16. Okeke was third on the team in scoring and first in rebounding. Kentucky was 2-0 against Auburn in the regular season, including an 80-53 beatdown at Rupp Arena where Okeke had the team-high in points for the Tigers. Auburn already had some difficulties stopping teams inside the arc and Kentucky gets 54.2 percent of its offense from that are on the floor.

Michigan State vs Duke

Scott’s Pick: Michigan State +1.5

I was banging the drum for Michigan State to be No. 1 seed in the latter stages of the season, but instead it got the second seed and now a dance with Duke. The Spartans are better defensively than the Blue Devils, but score five ppg fewer this season. Although Duke averages more points per game, Michigan State has a better overall shooting percentage offensively and defensively. Sparty is banged up but no doubt coach Tom Izzo will have these players fired up and I think this is by far Duke’s toughest test of the tournament and already had narrow wins over UCF and Virginia Tech.
 

My Best Bets for Saturday, March 30

Texas Tech vs Gonzaga

Scott’s Pick: Gonzaga -4.5

The Bulldogs have the advantage in many different areas of the game over the Red Raiders. Most notably, both squads elect to get the bulk of their offense from two-point range but Gonzaga is far better offensively and virtually identical defensively to Texas Tech. Additionally, the Bulldogs have a big edge on the glass and giving them extra opportunities is a surefire way to find yourself out of the tournament.

Purdue vs Virginia

Scott’s Pick: Virginia -4.5

Both teams elect to take a lot of three-point attempts, but Virginia is better offensively and defensively from that area of the floor. Purdue was limited to just 57 points when it played Michigan on December 1 (granted, at the Crisler Center), and Virginia is a step above the Wolverines on the defensive side of the ball.

My Best Bets for Friday, March 29

LSU vs Michigan State

Scott’s Pick: Michigan State -6

Defensive squads have caused issues for LSU down the stretch as Florida beat the Tigers twice and Maryland had them on the brink in the Round of 32. Michigan State is better offensively and defensively than those two teams. Lastly, the Spartans shoot better from the floor and have a better opponent shooting percentage than the Tigers.

Auburn vs North Carolina

Scott’s Pick: North Carolina -5.5

The Tigers live and die on their shooting beyond the arc and they’ve been hot lately but I think that comes to an end in this game. Auburn ranks 211th in the nation in opponent two-point shooting percentage and UNC gets 52.2 percent of its scoring from inside the arc while also scoring the third-most points per game in the nation. Additionally, the Tar Heels rank 90th in opponent three-point percentage.

Virginia Tech vs Duke

Scott’s Pick: Virginia Tech +7

The Hokies got the best of the Blue Devils just over a month ago, albeit at a time when Zion Williamson was out of the lineup. Duke has had a lot of difficulties running up the score recently, going just 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games, while Virginia Tech is 5-3 ATS in its last eight. Both teams are fairly equal in overall shooting percentage and opponent shooting percentage and the Hokies slow the pace so much that I think they can keep it close.

Houston vs Kentucky

Scott’s Pick: Kentucky -2.5

Both teams are very evenly matched offensively and defensively, but the Wildcats had to face the 27th-toughest strength of schedule, while the Cougars’ SOS ranked 82nd. Kentucky has a much better overall shooting percentage and isn’t that far behind on the defensive side of the ball. I think there’s going to be quite a battle on the glass as both teams are strong at rebounding.

My Best Bets for Thursday, March 28

Florida State vs Gonzaga

Scott’s Pick: Gonzaga -7.5

The Bulldogs have the advantage in nearly every aspect of this game over the Seminoles. Both teams get the bulk of their offense from inside the arc, but Gonzaga executes that game plan more effectively and is even better defensively.

Purdue vs Tennessee

Scott’s Pick: Purdue +2

Tennessee has big issues slowing teams down from beyond the arc, a key factor in its loss in the SEC tournament final vs Auburn. The Vols rank 204th in opponent three-point percentage and the Boilermakers get 39 percent of their scoring from downtown. Purdue has the edge on the defensive side of the ball as well.

Texas Tech vs Michigan

Scott’s Pick: Texas Tech +2

Both teams are very evenly matched defensively, but the Red Raiders have the massive advantage offensively. Texas Tech held Buffalo, which scored the fifth-most ppg in the nation this season, to just 58 points in the Round of 32 and Michigan doesn’t have the offense the Bulls do. I just don’t see a way that the Wolverines will be able to hang offensively with the Red Raiders.

Oregon vs Virginia

Scott’s Pick: Virginia -8.5

Both teams elect to get a large portion of their scoring from beyond the arc, but Virginia is vastly better offensively and defensively in that area on the floor. Although the Ducks are really flying right now, this is a big step up in competition and I think they will crash down to reality against the Cavs.

My Best Bets for Sunday, March 24

Iowa vs Tennessee

Scott’s Pick: Tennessee -8

The Volunteers are better than the Hawkeyes in nearly every aspect of the game. I think after Tennessee had its slow start to the tournament against Colgate that it will come out firing in this Round of 32 matchup. Lastly, Iowa is just 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games covering against Illinois and Cincinnati, I don’t think it can pull it off against Tennessee.

Washington vs North Carolina

Scott’s Pick: Washington +11.5

North Carolina seems to struggle against defensive-minded teams and Washington surrenders the 24th-fewest ppg in the nation. Additionally, the Huskies’ offense finally showed signs of life in their Round of 64 game with Utah State, scoring more than 75 points for just the third time in its last 13 contests.

UCF vs Duke

Scott’s Pick: UCF +13

Duke is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games dating back to mid-February. Both teams like to get the ball inside the arc to do some damage, and the Knights are little better defensively from that area of the floor. I expect the Blue Devils to win, but I think the Knights will do a good job slowing down Duke to the point that they should cover the 13-point spread.

Buffalo vs Texas Tech

Scott’s Pick: Buffalo +3.5

Offense vs defense in this one and I’m giving the edge to the Bulls. Texas Tech is scoring just 73.1 ppg to Buffalo’s 85 ppg – the fourth-most in college hoops. The Bulls will also have a massive advantage on the glass, securing 41.1 rebounds per game to the Red Raiders’ 34 boards per game.

Liberty vs Virginia Tech

Scott’s Pick: Virginia Tech -9

Both teams have a similar approach to the game, but Virginia Tech just executes at a higher level. The Hokies have the edge in nearly every aspect of the game and I think their defense will completely stifle Liberty. Although the Flames are on a six-game winning streak, they have only covered three times over that span and the Hokies are 5-2 SU and ATS in their last seven.

Oklahoma vs Virginia

Scott’s Pick: Virginia -11

The Cavaliers overcame a slow start against Gardner-Webb and finished strong with a 41-20 second half. The two teams score nearly the same amount of points per game, but Virginia allows 13 fewer ppg on the defensive side of the ball. Additionally, the Cavs have a much better shooting percentage both offensively and defensively and I think they roll in this game.

Ohio State vs Houston

Scott’s Pick: Houston -5.5

Ohio State got its one win to advance the Round of 32 but the Buckeyes stop here. OSU went 4-7 SU and 5-6 ATS in its last 11 games, including the Iowa State win on Friday night. Houston is far superior offensively and defensively and it should crush Ohio State. The Cougars are 5-1 SU and 3-3 ATS in their last six games.

UC-Irvine vs Oregon

Scott’s Pick: Oregon -4.5

The Ducks continue to be peaking at the right time going 9-0 SU and ATS in its last nine games and I think they push this streak to 10 vs the Anteaters. Oregon is the better defensive team, but UC-Irvine has the edge offensively. I know the Anteaters broke through a tough Kansas State defensive team, but Oregon has a much better offense than the Wildcats and KSU got into foul trouble and were without perhaps their best player, Dean Wade.

Maryland vs LSU

Scott’s Pick: Maryland +2.5

LSU has a big advantage offensively, but Maryland has a large edge on the defensive side of the ball. Both teams are really good on the glass, but I find the Tigers’ Kavell Bigby-Williams is undisciplined, always getting in foul trouble, and I think the Terrapins will take over on the glass if that occurs. Additionally, Maryland has a massive advantage defending inside the arc, ranking 17th with its foes hitting 44.8 percent from two-point range.

Wofford vs Kentucky

Scott’s Pick: Kentucky -5

Both teams are fairly evenly matched offensively and defensively, however, Kentucky has a big advantage in opponent overall shooting percentage with the Wildcats’ opponents shooting 40.1 percent from the floor while the Terriers’ foes hit 43.5 percent of their attempts. Additionally, Kentucky will be dominant on the glass and should be able to get extra offensive opportunities with offensive rebounds.

Florida vs Michigan

Scott’s Pick: Michigan -6.5

Michigan and Florida play a similar style of game, but the Wolverines execute their game plan better. The Wolverines score more points and allow fewer points than the Gators, have a better shooting percentage and limit their opponents’ shooting percentage more effectively. Additionally, Michigan is better on the glass and while Florida creates turnovers to get offensive opportunities, the Wolverines commit the fewest giveaways in the nation.

Murray State vs Florida State

Scott’s Pick: Murray State +5.5

Both teams are similar defensively with the edge going to Florida State, but Murray State has a sizable advantage offensively, albeit with a considerable difference in strength of schedules. I find the Seminoles really roll against defensive-minded teams, while having slight difficulties with offensive teams. Not sure if the Racers can win outright, but I think they can hang tough.

Baylor vs Gonzaga

Scott’s Pick: Gonzaga -13.5

This line is wacky! Baylor ranks 169th offensively with 71.8 ppg while Gonzaga leads the nation with 88.8 ppg. The Bulldogs also allow fewer ppg at 64.6 to the Bears’ 67.2 – granted, Gonzaga had an easier strength of schedule. Baylor gets a good portion of its offense from long range but Gonzaga ranks 25th in opponent three-point percentage.

Minnesota vs Michigan State

Scott’s Pick: Michigan State -10

The Spartans are better offensively and defensively and pounded the Golden Gophers by 24 in mid-February. Michigan State is far superior in overall shooting percentage offensively and defensively and even has a sizable advantage on the glass. Let’s not overthink this one, MSU -10.

Villanova vs Purdue

Scott’s Pick: Purdue -3.5

The Boilermakers have the edge both offensively and defensively. Additionally, Purdue has a massive advantage in overall shooting percentage both offensively and defensively. An area of concern, though, is that Villanova is all about the triples, and the Boilermakers rank 149th in opponent three-point percentage.

Auburn vs Kansas

Scott’s Pick: Kansas +2

Both teams are fairly evenly matched, with the Tigers having the slight edge offensively and defensively. However, the Jayhawks get the bulk of their scoring from inside the arc and Auburn ranks 213th with its opponents shooting 50.9 percent from that area of the floor. Additionally, Kansas will have the advantage on the glass, ranking 36th in rebounds per game, while Auburn sits 252nd.

My Best Bets for Friday, March 22

Iowa vs Cincinnati

Scott’s Pick: Cincinnati -4

Iowa has just one spread win in its last 10 games, when it played lowly Illinois in the Big Ten tournament. The Hawkeyes have struggled against stout defensive squads and the Bearcats surrender the 11th-fewest ppg in the nation at 62.2. Additionally, Cincinnati gets a large portion of its scoring from inside the arc and Iowa ranks 295th in opponent two-point shooting percentage.

Oklahoma vs Ole Miss

Scott’s Pick: Ole Miss -1

Oklahoma limps into this game having dropped eight of its last 12 games, while Ole Miss hasn’t been much better at 6-6 over its last 12. The Rebels are a better offensive team, including an overall shooting percentage of 45.9 to the Sooners’ 44.5 percent, and Ole Miss takes more shots from beyond the arc as well. Lastly, the Rebels create the 54th-most takeaways per game and that will help bolster their offense.

Northern Kentucky vs Texas Tech

Scott’s Pick: Texas Tech -13

Northern Kentucky does have the edge in points per game over Texas Tech this season, however, they are virtually identical in overall shooting percentage. Meanwhile, on the defensive side of the ball, the Raiders allow the fourth-fewest ppg. When the Norse faced tough defenses such as Cincinnati, they were overwhelmed, and I expect a similar situation in this contest.

UC Irvine vs Kansas State

Scott’s Pick: UC Irvine +4.5

Dean Wade won’t be playing for the Wildcats and he is the second-best scorer for a team that ranks 307th in ppg this season, while the Anteaters rank 149th. UC Irvine rates better in both overall shooting percentage and opponent shooting percentage. Additionally, Kansas State ranks 262nd in rebounds per game, while UC Irvine ranks 12th.

Colgate vs Tennessee

Scott’s Pick: Colgate +17.5

Both teams have similar stats offensively and defensively, with the Vols having the slight edge in each category. Colgate isn’t that far behind Tennessee in overall shooting percentage, and it shoots the three-ball more often than the Volunteers, whose downfall in the SEC tournament final was largely due to their shaky defense on the perimeter. The Raiders shoot 39.1 percent from long range and Tennessee ranks 173rd in opponent three-point shooting percentage.

Gardner-Webb vs Virginia

Scott’s Pick: Virginia -22

Virginia is going to put last year’s demons to rest with a statement game. The Cavs are 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games. Gardner-Webb ranks 212th in opponent points per game at 73.4, while Virginia leads the nation with just 55.1 ppg allowed. Also, the Cavaliers shoot well from beyond the arc, and the Runnin’ Bulldogs rank 136th in opponent three-point shooting percentage.

Arizona State vs Buffalo

Scott’s Pick: Buffalo -4.5

Buffalo has a better offense and a slightly better defense than Arizona State. The Sun Devils have a major issue in ball possession, ranking 253rd in giveaways per game, while Buffalo ranks 25th in takeaways. Additionally, the Bulls have the slight edge on the glass, grabbing 41.1 boards per game to the Sun Devils’ 40.2. Lastly, Buffalo has a better overall shooting percentage and elects to take more shots from beyond the arc.

Oregon vs Wisconsin

Scott’s Pick: Oregon +2

Oregon is peaking at the right time, going 8-0 SU and ATS in its last eight games. The Ducks are better offensively and nearly identical to the Badgers in defensive metrics. I expect Oregon to really hound the Wisconsin ball carriers looking for extra opportunities to score, but it may be a difficult task as the Badgers average the fifth-fewest turnovers per game.

Washington vs Utah State

Scott’s Pick: Utah State -3

The Aggies have a better overall shooting percentage, a better opponent field-goal percentage and average 10 more points per game than the Huskies. Additionally, Utah State is peaking at the right time, going 10-0 SU and 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games, while Washington is just 4-3 SU and 1-6 ATS in its last seven. Lastly, the Huskies rank 323rd in rebounds per game, while the Aggies rank 10th.

North Dakota State vs Duke

Scott’s Pick: Duke -27

Duke is better than North Dakota State in nearly every facet of the game. The Blue Devils score more and allow fewer ppg than the Bison and will have a massive advantage on the glass, as NDSU ranks 335th in rebounds per game while Duke ranks second. Lastly, the Blue Devils have done all this while having the second-toughest strength of schedule this season and the Bison’s SOS ranked 221st.

Georgia State vs Houston

Scott’s Pick: Houston -12

Georgia State has the slight edge in points per game this season, chipping in 75.8 to Houston’s 75.6, however, the Cougars have a massive advantage defensively, holding opponents to 61.2 ppg, the sixth-fewest in college hoops, while the Panthers allow 73.1 ppg. When Georgia State played Kansas State earlier in the season, it was held to just 59 points and Houston is on the same level. I expect the Cougars to win big here.

Liberty vs Mississippi State

Scott’s Pick: Mississippi State -6.5

The Bulldogs score five more ppg and the Flames have a slight edge in opponent overall shooting percentage, holding their foes to one percentage point lower than Mississippi State. Meanwhile, Liberty has done this with the 281st-ranked strength of schedule, while the Bulldogs’ SOS ranked 32nd. Lastly, the Flames rank 319th in rebounds per game. I expect the Bulldogs to dominate the glass and run up the score.

Iona vs North Carolina

Scott’s Pick: UNC -23

Iona ranks 265th with its opponents scoring 75.6 ppg, which isn’t a good start going against a North Carolina team that is third in the nation in scoring, pouring in 86.1 ppg. Additionally, the Tar Heels grab the most rebounds per game and the Gaels rank 159th in boards per game. Meanwhile, Iona has had its difficulties defensively despite its 301st-ranked strength of schedule.

UCF vs VCU

Scott’s Pick: UCF -1

The Knights score more ppg but allow a few more ppg than the Rams. In overall shooting percentage, UCF has a big edge offensively, but once again VCU has a slight advantage defensively. Both teams secure 36.7 rebounds per game, however, there’s a big discrepancy in turnovers with the Knights averaging 11.8 giveaways per game, while the Rams commit 13.9 giveaways. Lastly, UCF has had a slightly tougher strength of schedule. I think this will be a tight game but the Knights should prevail.

Ohio State vs Iowa State

Scott’s Pick: Iowa State -5.5

The Cyclones have a very big advantage offensively, but the Buckeyes have the edge defensively. However, Iowa State has the edge in opponent overall shooting percentage over Ohio State and offensively, the Cyclones shoot 47.7 percent from the floor, while the Buckeyes only hit 43.7 percent of their attempts. Iowa State is the better rebounding team and turns the ball over far less often than Ohio State.

Saint Louis vs Virginia Tech

Scott’s Pick: Saint Louis +10.5

The Billikens rank 293rd by scoring only 67.1 ppg, which isn’t a good sign as they go against a Hokies team that surrenders just 62.1 ppg to rank 10th. That being said, Saint Louis isn’t far behind Virginia Tech, giving up 63.7 ppg. Neither team takes a lot of shots or gives up a lot of shots, so with a slow pace of play, I think the Billikens can hang tough.

Best Bets for Thursday, March 21

Minnesota vs Louisville

Scott’s Pick: Louisville -5

Louisville scores four more ppg and allows two fewer ppg than Minnesota and had a tougher strength of schedule. Additionally, the Cardinals restrict their opponents to an overall shooting percentage of 40.5, while the Golden Gophers’ foes shoot 43.4 percent from the floor. Lastly, Louisville will have the advantage on the glass, securing 38.2 boards per game to Minnesota’s 37.1.

Yale vs LSU

Scott’s Pick: LSU -7

These teams are fairly evenly matched offensively and defensively, but the Tigers have done their damage with the 43rd-toughest strength of schedule, while the Bulldogs ranked 192nd in SOS. Expect turnovers to be a key factor in the contest as LSU creates 15 takeaways per game and Yale only gets 11.1 turnovers per game.

New Mexico State vs Auburn

Scott’s Pick: New Mexico State +5.5

New Mexico State and Auburn both like to dial up the three-ball early and often, but the Aggies defend the arc much better than the Tigers, limiting their opponents to a 33.1 shooting percentage from downtown, while Auburn’s foes shoot 35.6 percent from long range. Additionally, New Mexico State ranks 43rd in rebounds per game and Auburn sits 241st in that category.

Vermont vs Florida State

Scott’s Pick: Vermont +9

Vermont and Florida State are very similar offensively, with the Seminoles holding a slight edge, while the Catamounts have the advantage on the defensive side of the ball. Although the Seminoles have the edge in ppg, the Catamounts have a better overall shooting percentage. Lastly, Florida State ranks 226th in giveaways per game at 13.5 and Vermont only averages 11.0 turnovers per game.

Bradley vs Michigan State

Scott’s Pick: Michigan State -18.5

These two teams approach the game in a similar fashion, but the Spartans outmatch the Braves in nearly every aspect. Although Bradley has a good defense, it’s nothing Michigan State hasn’t seen before as it is coming off three straight Saturdays during which it played Michigan, which has the second-best defense in the nation. Bradley ranks 300th with 66.4 ppg and Michigan State ranks 34th with 78.8 ppg.

Belmont vs Maryland

Scott’s Pick: Belmont +3

Belmont had the second-best offense this season, chipping in 86.9 ppg, while Maryland averaged just 71.3 ppg this year. The Terrapins do have the edge defensively, but I’m not sure it’s going to overcome the scoring disadvantage. Additionally, both teams have similar rebounding numbers, but Maryland averages 13.1 turnovers per game while Belmont averages just 11.6 and this could be a key factor giving the Bruins extra opportunities.

Northeastern vs Kansas

Scott’s Pick: Kansas -6.5

People are all over Northeastern in this game because the Jayhawks have lost some players and have had their difficulties in road games. However, they are 6-1 in neutral-site games, including wins over Michigan State, Marquette and Tennessee. Kansas holds opponents to a shooting percentage of 40.8, while Northeastern ranks 259th with its foes shooting 45.7 percent. Lastly, Kansas had its good numbers all while having the toughest strength of schedule.

Murray State vs Marquette

Scott’s Pick: Marquette -3.5

I can see why a lot of people will be on Murray State this year as it has similar offensive and defensive stats to those of Marquette. However, the level of competition is night and day as the Racers’ strength of schedule ranked 257th in college hoops, while the Eagles had the 57th-ranked SOS. Murray State gets the majority of its points from inside the arc, and Marquette ranks 19th in opponent two-point percentage at 44.8.

Florida vs Nevada

Scott’s Pick: Nevada -2.5

Both Florida and Nevada take a lot of three-point attempts, but the Gators only hit 33.5 percent of their triples and the Wolf Pack shoot 35.1 percent from long range. Both teams are similar defensively in points allowed per game, but Nevada scores 80.7 ppg to Florida’s 68.3. Lastly, the Wolf Pack secure 37.4 rebounds per game and the Gators grab 33.6 boards per game.

Abilene Christian vs Kentucky

Scott’s Pick: Kentucky -21.5

Kentucky scores five more ppg, but allows 0.5 more ppg than Abilene Christian, but UK did it facing the 22nd-toughest strength of schedule, while ACU’s SOS ranked 336th out of 353 teams. Additionally, Kentucky grabs 38.5 rebounds per game and Abilene Christian only grabs 32 boards per outing. Lastly, UK shoots 52.7 percent from the floor and limits opponents to 43.6 percent shooting.

Saint Mary’s vs Villanova

Scott’s Pick: Villanova -4.5

These teams have opposite approaches to the game with Villanova getting 42.8 percent of its offense from three-point range and Saint Mary’s accumulating 52.5 percent of its scoring from two-point range. The Wildcats will have the edge on the glass and I think they may have the advantage in the turnover game as well.

Fairleigh Dickinson vs Gonzaga

Scott’s Pick: Gonzaga -27

The Bulldogs get their offense from inside the arc, which is highly repeatable, and they score more points per game and allow fewer ppg than the Knights. Additionally, Gonzaga has an overall shooting percentage of 53.2 and Fairleigh Dickinson shoots 47.4 percent from the floor. Defensively, the Zags hold their foes to a 38.9 shooting percentage and Fairleigh Dickinson’s opponents shoot 44.9 percent.

Montana vs Michigan

Scott’s Pick: Michigan -15

Although Montana has the edge in points scored per game this season, this will be by far the toughest defense it has faced. The Grizzlies were held to just 42 points when they played Arizona in mid-December and Michigan surrenders 10 fewer ppg than the Wildcats. Additionally, Montana ranks 257th in rebounds per game and the Wolverines rank 172nd.

Seton Hall vs Wofford

Scott’s Pick: Seton Hall +2.5

The Pirates get 51.8 percent of their scoring from inside the arc, which is much more repeatable than the Terriers, who get 40.1 percent of their offense from beyond the arc. Meanwhile, Seton Hall limits its foes to an overall shooting percentage of 42.7 and Wofford’s counterparts shoot 43.6 percent. Additionally, the Terriers rank 212th in opponent two-point percentage at 50.9. Lastly, the Pirates have the edge on the glass, grabbing 35.8 boards per game to the Terriers’ 34.9.

Old Dominion vs Purdue

Scott’s Pick: Purdue -12.5

Old Dominion scores the 51st-fewest ppg in the nation this year at 66.2, while Purdue pours in 76.2 ppg. The Monarchs do have the advantage defensively, but have had the 187th-ranked strength of schedule, while the Boilermakers allow six more ppg but have faced the seventh-toughest SOS.

Baylor vs Syracuse

Scott’s Pick: Syracuse -2

Baylor has the slight edge offensively, scoring two more ppg than Syracuse, but the Orange allow two fewer ppg than the Bears. Syracuse had a tougher strength of schedule, ranking 20th, while the Bears’ SOS ranked 51st. Also, the Orange rank 16th in college hoops by restricting their foes to a 39.8 overall shooting percentage, while the Bears’ opponents shoot 42.2 percent.

Best Bets for Wednesday, March 20

North Carolina Central vs North Dakota State

Scott’s Pick: North Dakota State -5

North Carolina Central had the weakest strength of schedule in the nation this season, ranking 353rd among 353 teams. Even with a weak SOS, the Eagles still had troubles scoring, chipping in only 67.7 ppg to rank 280th. Additionally, North Dakota State averages 10.6 turnovers per game while NC Central ranks 330th with 15.5 giveaways per game.

St. John’s vs Arizona State

Scott’s Pick: Arizona State -2

Both teams have a similar offensive output this season with Arizona State chipping in 77.8 ppg and St. John’s slightly behind at 77.5 ppg. However, the Sun Devils have a bigger edge defensively, surrendering 73.1 ppg to the Red Storm’s 74.8 ppg allowed. Additionally, Arizona State’s offense is more repeatable as they pound the ball inside the arc for their scoring while St. John’s relies on the three a lot more.

Best Bets for Tuesday, March 19

Fairleigh Dickinson vs Prairie View A&M

Scott’s Pick: Prairie View A&M +2

These teams are very evenly matched and they are both rolling with big winning streaks on the line. I think the Panthers’ offense is a little more repeatable, getting the ball inside the arc and getting to the line, while the Knights will try to take more three-point attempts. Additionally, Fairleigh Dickinson has had an issue with turnovers this season and Prairie View ranks second in the nation in takeaways per game.

Temple vs Belmont

Neither team has a really strong defense, but the Bruins have a really good offense, pouring in an average of 86.9 points per game for the second-most in the nation. Additionally, Belmont has a better overall shooting percentage and holds opponents to a lower shooting percentage than Temple does.

Scott’s Pick: Belmont -3.5

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