March Madness Bracket Picks, Trends
Saturday’s action features plenty of upset opportunity for March Madness bettors and poolies alike.
Among the interesting trends are 11 seeds going 4-2 lately against 3 seeds. This means trouble for Syracuse.
There is also the matter of 2 seeds winning 10 in a row against 7 seeds, which is good news for Michigan, Villanova and Wisconsin.
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South Region Trends
Pitt 9 vs Florida 1 – predicted score 72.6-70.7 Gators
Florida has won 27 straight games as favorites
Florida won and covered three straight Round 2 games
9 seeds covered four in a row vs 1 seeds
Dayton 11 vs Syracuse 3 – predicted score 70.4-67.2 Orange
11 seeds have won four of past six meetings vs 3 seeds
Dayton 9-4 ATS past 13 games overall
Dayton 7-3 ATS past 10 games as underdogs
Syracuse played five straight OVERs
Syracuse lost as a 3 seed vs an 11 in 2011 (Marquette)
East Region Trends
Harvard 12 vs Michigan State 4 – predicted score 73.6-71.7 Michigan State
12 seeds are 6-1 ATS vs 4 seeds since 2006
Harvard 7-1 ATS past eight games
UNDER is 9-2 past 11 Harvard games when underdog
Michigan State 6-0 ATS past six games
Michigan State 8-2 ATS past 10 games as favorites
Michigan State 7-2 ATS in 9 second-round games since 2001
UConn 7 vs Villanova 2 – predicted score 70.1-62.9 Wildcats
2 seeds have won 10 straight vs 7 seeds
UNDER is 13-2 past 15 UConn games
UConn 2-8-2 ATS past 12 games vs Villanova
Villanova 9-3 ATS past 12 games as favorites
UConn 6-2 ATS past eight tournament games
West Region Trends
North Dakota State 12 vs San Diego State 4 – predicted score 68-63 ND State
12 seeds are 6-1 ATS vs 4 seeds since 2006
San Diego State 24-2 SU past 26 games when favored
San Diego State 1-4 ATS in tournament after ATS loss Thursday to NM St
Oregon 7 vs Wisconsin 2 – predicted score 76.9-75.4 Badgers
2 seeds have won 10 straight vs 7 seeds
Oregon 9-2-1 ATS past 12 games overall
Oregon 9-2 ATS past 11 games as underdog
Oregon 4-0 ATS past four tournament games
Wisconsin was upset twice against 7 seeds (UNLV in 2007, Texas in 1997)
Midwest Region Trends
Saint Louis 5 vs Louisville 4 – predicted score 72.8-61.6 Cardinals
4 seeds on 6-1 ATS vs 5 seeds since 2010
Saint Louis 1-8-1 ATS past 10 games overall
Louisville is 4-1 ATS when favored in second round since 1996
Texas 7 vs Michigan 2 – predicted score 74.1-69.3 Michigan Wolverines
2 seeds have won 10 straight vs 7 seeds
Texas 2-6-1 ATS past nine games overall
Michigan won eight straight games when favored
First meeting since 1996 (UT won 80-76)
Texas 0-3 SU, 3-0 ATS vs 2 seeds since 1996
