Furman featured in our March Madness 4 vs 13 betting history and trends

March Madness Matchups: 4 vs 13 Betting History & Trends

If a No. 13 seed upsetting a No. 4 seed in the NCAA Tournament seems like a huge long shot, be aware that it has happened at least once in 16 of the past 22 tournaments, the exceptions being 2004, 2007, 2014, 2015, 2017 and 2022.

This year, March Madness fanatics saw No. 13 Furman knock off No. 4 Virginia by one point in a brutal last-second turnover ending. 

And five times since the tourney field expanded to 64 teams in 1985, there have been two upsets involving No. 13 seeds in the same year (1987, 2001, 2008, 2018 and 2021). In fact, 2014’s 4-0 sweep by the No. 4 seeds ended a string of six consecutive seasons in which there had been at least one No. 13 seed advancing past the first round in the March Madness bracket.

Prediction Machine Banner

In the 2021 NCAA Tournament, No. 13 seeds Ohio and North Texas upset Virginia and Purdue, respectively. However, just like in 2018, both teams failed to win their next game and advance to the Sweet 16. The No. 13 seeds went 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS in that tournament.

Ohio and North Texas pulled off the upset as No. 13 seeds in 2021.

Prediction Machine Banner 4



Who Should You Be Betting On?

Last year may have seen the No. 4 seeds take home a clean sweep against No. 13 seeds, but the scoreboard is always tighter than the oddsboard suggests. In 10 of the last 14 No. 4 vs No. 13 matchups, the No. 13 seeds have covered the spread. 

In those matchups, only one favored team managed a double-digit victory, with Florida State defeating UNC Greensboro 64-54 in 2021. However, the No. 13 Spartans still cashed in the +10.5 line. Last season, three of the four matchups were decided by four points or less. The best advice? Bank on those No. 13 seeds to keep things interesting on the court. 

No. 4 Vs No. 13 Betting History

It was nearly a clean sweep for No. 4 seeds in 2016 and 2017, as the only higher seed to lose was Cal in ’16. The Golden Bears were upset 77-66 by Hawaii despite closing as 5.5-point favorites, but Cal was missing several players due to injuries and popular assistant coach Yann Hufnagel following his dismissal amid sexual harassment allegations. Aside from Cal’s poor performance, Duke just barely held off a hard-charging UNC Wilmington team and won 93-85 while failing to cover the 10-point spread.

In the 2018 NCAA Tournament, No. 13 seeds Buffalo and Marshall upset Arizona and Wichita State, respectively. Both teams ended up falling in the Round of 32, however.

No. 13 seeds haven’t gone down without a fight even in years when they didn’t manage an upset. In 2015, they still went 3-1 ATS with Valparaiso (+5), UC Irvine (+8.5) and Harvard (+9.5) each covering the number in games that were decided by a combined seven points. In 2012 and 2013, the No. 13 seeds went 2-6 ATS but both teams that covered moved on to the next round. In 2010 and 2011, the No. 13 seeds went 5-3 ATS.

Largest No. 13 Seed Upsets In March Madness History

There have been 32 No. 13 seeds that have pulled off upsets in the first round over the past 37 years of the NCAA Tournament. That includes the very first year of the bigger March Madness bracket in 1985 when Navy crushed LSU 78-55 for the largest margin of victory ever for the matchup.

Even though college basketball bettors have never seen a No. 13 seed win a Sweet 16 game, six have made it to the third round before getting knocked out at that point of the NCAA Tournament. The two most recent times saw La Salle (2013) and Ohio (2012) take down No. 12 seeds in the second round to make it to the Sweet 16, which has actually happened in three of the six occurrences overall.

Seed vs Seed Stats: 1 vs 16 | 2 vs 15 | 3 vs 14 | 4 vs 13 | 5 vs 12 | 6 vs 11 | 7 vs 10 | 8 vs 9

#4 Seed vs #13 Seed
#4 SeedScore#13 SeedScoreDateATS WinWin SeedATS Seed
Indiana71Kent State602023-03-18Indiana44
Providence66South Dakota State572022-03-17Providence44
Purdue69North Texas782021-03-19North Texas1313
Oklahoma State69Liberty602021-03-19Oklahoma State44
Florida State64UNC Greensboro542021-03-20UNC Greensboro413
Kansas State64UC Irvine702019-03-22UC Irvine1313
Florida State76Vermont692019-03-21Vermont413
Virginia Tech73St. Louis472019-03-22Virginia Tech44
Kansas 87Northeastern532019-03-21Kansas44
Gonzaga68UNC Greensboro642018-03-15UNC Greensboro413
Wichita State75Marshall812018-03-16Marshall1313
Florida80East Tennessee State652017-03-16Florida44
West Virginia86Bucknell802017-03-16Bucknell413
Iowa State94Iona812016-03-17Iowa State44
Duke93UNC Wilmington852016-03-17UNC Wilmington413
Kentucky85Stony Brook572016-03-17Kentucky44
Louisville57UC Irvine552015-03-20UC Irvine413
Georgetown84Eastern Washington742015-03-19Georgetown44
North Carolina67Harvard652015-03-19Harvard413
San Diego State73New Mexico State692014-03-20New Mexico State413
Michigan State93Delaware782014-03-20Michigan State44
Kansas State61La Salle632013-03-22La Salle1313
Michigan71South Dakota State562013-03-21Michigan44
Saint Louis64New Mexico State442013-03-21Saint Louis44
Indiana79New Mexico State662012-03-15Indiana44
Louisville61Morehead State622011-03-17Morehead State1313
Vanderbilt65Murray State662010-03-18Murray State1313
Wake Forest69Cleveland State842009-03-20Cleveland State1313
Xavier77Portland State592009-03-20Xavier44
Washington71Mississippi State582009-03-19Washington44
Connecticut69San Diego702008-03-21San Diego1313
Washington State71Winthrop402008-03-20Washington State44
Pittsburgh82Oral Roberts632008-03-20Pittsburgh44
Southern Illinois61Holy Cross512007-03-16Southern Illinois44
Texas79New Mexico State672007-03-16Texas44
Illinois78Air Force692006-03-16Illinois44
Boston College88Pacific762006-03-16Boston College44
Boston College85Pennsylvania652005-03-17Boston College44
Cincinnati80East Tennessee State772004-03-19East Tennessee State413
Wake Forest79Virginia Commonwealth782004-03-18Virginia Commonwealth413
Maryland86Texas El Paso832004-03-18Texas El Paso413
Louisville86Austin Peay642003-03-21Louisville44
Stanford77San Diego692003-03-20Stanford44
Illinois65Western Kentucky602003-03-20Western Kentucky413
Illinois93San Diego State642002-03-15Illinois44
Ohio State69Davidson642002-03-14Davidson413
USC89UNC Wilmington932002-03-14UNC Wilmington1313
Oklahoma68Indiana State702001-03-16Indiana State1313
Kansas99CS Northridge752001-03-16Kansas44
Indiana73Kent State772001-03-15Kent State1313
LSU64SE Missouri State612000-03-16SE Missouri State413
Ohio State72Murray State581999-03-11Ohio State44
New Mexico79Butler621998-03-13New Mexico44
Michigan State83Eastern Michigan711998-03-12Michigan State44
Maryland82Utah State681998-03-12Maryland44
Clemson68Miami (Ohio)561997-03-14Clemson44
Saint Joseph’s75Pacific651997-03-13Saint Joseph’s44
Arizona65South Alabama571997-03-13South Alabama413
Villanova101Long Island911997-03-13Long Island413
Syracuse88Montana State551996-03-14Syracuse44

March Madness 4 vs 13 Betting History FAQ

Where can I bet on the 4 vs 13 seed March Madness games?

For bettors and college basketball fans looking to bet on the 4 vs 13 seed March Madness games this year, Odds Shark has put together a list of the Best March Madness Betting Sites online. The list includes extensive reviews of each digital sportsbook, a ranking of all the best options, and some bonus codes for first-time wagerers.

What kind of bets can I make on the 4 vs 13 seed March Madness games?

You can make all sorts of bets on the 4 vs 13 seed March Madness games in this year's NCAAB Tournament. The most common betting types are a moneyline or spread bet on the winner of the game, but Odds Shark's How To Bet on March Madness guide outlines all the betting options and some general strategies for each.

When was the last time a 13 seed beat a 4 seed in March Madness?

In the 2023 NCAA Tournament, the No. 13 Furman Paladins upset the No. 4 Virginia Cavaliers 68-67 on a shocking late-game turnover and ensuing three-pointer from JP Pegues in the dying seconds.