The Michigan Wolverines will try to be the first team since 2007 to win the Big Ten Tournament title in back-to-back years when they face the Purdue Boilermakers. The Wolverines opened as 3.5-point dogs in this contest and will try to beat Purdue for the first time this season after dropping both regular-season games to the Boilermakers.
- Michigan is 5-1 ATS in its last six games vs Purdue.
- The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Purdue’s last 18 games.
- Michigan is 5-1 SU in its last six games on a neutral court.
The Wolverines were stellar on the defensive end in the semifinals vs Michigan State on Saturday, holding the No.2-ranked Spartans to 62 points. Moritz Wagner came up big in the second half with 14 points and his shooting and rebounding abilities will be counted on greatly if Michigan is to knock off Purdue.
The Wolverines have been one of the hottest teams in the Big 10, riding an eight-game win streak and are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games. If bettors are planning to take the Michigan spread, they’ll be thrilled to know the Wolverines are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games and covered both times vs Purdue this season.
As for Purdue, it was a tale of two halves vs Penn State as the Boilermakers led by three points at the break before coming out like gangbusters and putting the clamps down on the Nittany Lions. That being said, Purdue failed to cover again and the Boilermakers extended their spread-record to 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games. For that reason, backers should tread carefully before fully investing in Purdue’s spread and stick to the moneyline.
The total opened at 135 and the OVER could be the best avenue for profit. Both of these teams’ average over 75 points per game and the OVER has hit in four of Purdue’s last five games. The OVER has also hit in 10 of the last 15 games in this matchup.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
Sportsbooks (including Sportsbook) had the Purdue Boilermakers betting line as -3.5-point favorites in this particular matchup earlier in the day. Also, watch for the Sportsbook over/under total value at Sportsbook.
Michigan Wolverines vs Purdue Boilermakers Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
The Purdue Boilermakers bring a 28-5 record (16-16-1 ATS) to this tilt against the 27-7 Wolverines, who are 21-11-1 ATS. Those OVER/UNDER betting have witnessed Purdue go 17-16 so far and the Michigan Wolverines go 16-16-1.
The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Purdue Boilermakers rated this week at No. 16 and the Michigan Wolverines sitting at No. 70.
Statistical Matchup
When it comes to rebounds, the visiting Michigan Wolverines rank No. 210 in NCAA Basketball Division 1 with 33.5 per game. That compares with Purdue’s No. 153 ranking in that category. The story is different when it comes to three-point shooting where Purdue is college basketball's No. 24-ranked team at 9.76 per game, while the Michigan Wolverines rate No. 44 with 9.18 per game.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
The Wolverines got 15 points from Xavier Simpson as Michigan ran past Michigan State 75-64 on Saturday at Madison Square Garden.
Purdue earned a 78-70 victory over Penn State on Saturday, getting 27 points from Carsen Edwards at Madison Square Garden.
- Michigan is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
- Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Michigan's last 6 games
- Michigan is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Purdue
- Purdue is 1-10-1 ATS in its last 12 games
- Purdue is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Purdue's last 5 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Purdue's last 18 games
