NCAA Basketball Game Preview - Falcons underdogs vs Aztecs at San Diego State

Air Force FalconsSan Diego State Aztecs
March 6, 11:30 PM | Viejas Arena

Air Force Falcons vs San Diego State Aztecs Odds

16-11TEAM RECORD20-8



Many eyes in the college basketball world will be on Viejas Arena Wednesday as host San Diego State looks to handle the Air Force Falcons in NCAA hoops action.

San Diego State battles the Falcons, currently sitting with a 16-11 mark (13-8-1 ATS). The OVER/UNDER records, always important for totals bettors, are 12-8-2 for the Aztecs and 12-6 for the Falcons.



View Air Force vs San Diego State Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Sportsbooks (including Sportsbook) had the Aztecs installed as 11-point favorites in this particular matchup earlier in the day. Also, watch for the Sportsbook over-under value at Sportsbook.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
According to new college basketball power rankings here, it's the No. 14-ranked Aztecs and the No. 146-rated Falcons in this matchup. Computer formulas aimed at predicting NCAAB scores point to a 77-71 win for the Aztecs on Wednesday.



How They Match Up:
The game also pits San Diego State's No. 106-ranked offense, averaging 70.3 PPG, against a Falcons defense that ranks No. 193 at 67 PPG. The Aztecs field goal percentage has averaged 44.7% so far, less than the Falcons marksmen have achieved on the year, 47.8% per game.

Defensively, Air Force features the nation's No. 234-rated defense on the road, allowing 72.1 points per game. San Diego State, meanwhile, comes in at No. 107 nationally in scoring at home.

Last time out for Air Force, they were a 56-41 loser as they battled Fresno State on the road. They failed to cover in the match as a 2-point underdog. Air Force suffered a 56-41 loss against Fresno State on Saturday, getting 11 points from Mike Fitzgerald in a losing effort at Save Mart Center.

Last time out for San Diego State, they were a 70-60 loser as they battled New Mexico on the road. They failed to cover in the match as a 5.5-point underdog. Jamaal Franklin scored 16 points in a futile effort to lead the Aztecs to a win (they lost 70-60 to New Mexico at The Pit on Wednesday).


Air Force Falcons Trends:
When playing on Wednesday are 4-6
Before playing New Mexico are 4-6
After playing Fresno State are 3-3
After a loss are 6-4

San Diego State Aztecs Trends:
When playing on Wednesday are 6-4
Before playing Boise State are 2-2
After playing New Mexico are 5-5
After a loss are 6-4


A few Falcons at Aztecs trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Air Force's last 8 games when playing on the road against San Diego State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Air Force's last 9 games on the road
Air Force is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against San Diego State
Air Force is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
San Diego State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Diego State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Air Force
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Diego State's last 8 games when playing at home against Air Force
San Diego State is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Air Force


Next up:
Air Force home to New Mexico, Saturday, March 9
San Diego State at Boise State, Saturday, March 9

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