Events
NCAAB
North Carolina
Tar Heels
25 - 9
Baylor
Bears
27 - 6
March 19, 2022, 12:10 PM EDT
 | Dickies Arena

Game Preview

North Carolina
Tar Heels
25 - 9
Baylor
Bears
27 - 6
March 19, 2022, 12:10 PM EDT
 | Dickies Arena

  • The 1-seed Baylor Bears (27-6 SU, 17-15-1 ATS) are 6-2 SU and 3-5 ATS over their last eight games heading into their matchup against the 8-seed North Carolina Tar Heels (25-9 SU, 17-16-1 ATS). After cruising by an easy opponent in the Round of 64, Baylor will try to advance to the Sweet 16 as the winning Tar Heels vs Bears prediction this Saturday.

    North Carolina Tar Heels vs Baylor Bears
    • Date/Time: March 19, 12:10 p.m. ET
    • Stadium: Dickies Arena
    • TV Coverage: CBS
    • Sportsbook Odds: Bears -5.5 | O/U 149 points (Line History)
    • Tar Heels vs Bears Matchup Report

    Tar Heels vs Bears Odds & Analysis

    Sportsbook Odds

    The betting line on this East Region showdown has remained steady since Baylor opened as a 5.5-point favorite. Bettors have leaned towards the UNDER in their Tar Heels vs Bears predictions, moving the line down slightly to 148.5 points after it opened at 149 points. The OVER is 7-1 in Baylor’s last 8 games against ACC teams.

    Get the best Tar Heels vs Bears odds and lines available from our recommended sportsbooks for your favorite picks of the night.

    • Best Spread
      -105
      -115
      UNC+5
      -5BAY
    • Best Moneyline
      +185
      -215
      UNC
      BAY
    • Best Total
      -107
      -113
      Over149
      149Under

    North Carolina Enters This Matchup With Momentum

    The Tar Heels rolled to an easy 95-63 win over the Marquette Golden Eagles in an 8-seed vs 9-seed matchup that was expected to be much more competitive. Brady Manek  led the way with 28 points and 11 rebounds while Armando Bacot also recorded a double-double with 17 points and 10 rebounds. North Carolina easily covered the spread as a 4-point favorite to improve to 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS over its last 8 games.

    The team’s only loss over that stretch was to a Virginia Tech team in the semifinals of the ACC Tournament that went on to crush Duke in the final. With a 13-3 SU and 10-5-1 ATS record over their last 16 games including road upsets over Duke and Virginia Tech,  North Carolina should be a popular Tar Heels vs Bears Prediction in this one.

    Baylor Is Still Missing Its Leading Scorer

    The Bears looked dominant on both sides of the court in their 85-49 win over the Norfolk State Spartans on Thursday. Baylor improved to 6-0 SU and ATS over its last six NCAA Tournament games with the win and is 10-2 SU and 9-3 ATS over its last 12 March Madness games since 2017. Matthew Mayer scored 22 points and recorded six rebounds in the win.

    Mayer and the rest of the current Bears roster will have to chip in on offense against the Tar Heels with leading scorer LJ Cryer ruled out with a foot injury. Cryer has been held to only 19 games this season with this lingering injury, and his absence has likely contributed to Baylor’s underwhelming 5-8 ATS record down the stretch.

    Tar Heels vs Bears Pick & Insights

    Tar Heels: Keys to Cover

    The Tar Heels are playing great and suddenly have a much clearer path to the Final Four with Kentucky’s shocking elimination in the East Region. That path begins with an upset over Baylor, which North Carolina could secure as a Tar Heels vs Bears prediction with another big game on offense.

    Bears: Keys to Cover

    Baylor hasn’t always looked dominant down the stretch, but it is 6-1 SU over its last seven games and 4-1 ATS in its last five games as a favorite of six points or less. This team’s strong play on both sides of the court and its March Madness experience make Baylor a very reasonable Tar Heels vs Bears pick in this one.

    Odds Shark’s Computer Tar Heels vs Bears Prediction: Bears -5.5

    Check out more of Odds Shark’s signature NBA and NCAAB computer picks, plus our favorite sportsbooks that serve up basketball customers.

    Shark Bites
    • North Carolina is 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 March games.
    • Baylor is 27-4 SU as a favorite this season.
    • The OVER is 10-4 in North Carolina's last 14 games

    See Odds Shark’s Best NCAAB Sites

Back to Matchup

Odds

Saturday, March 19 Sat Mar 19

Opening
Current
North Carolina
vsFinal
Baylor
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
+5.5
-116
+185
o149
-107
-5.5
+103
-213
u149
-109
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
+5
-105
+185
o149
-107
-5
-115
-215
u149
-113
Line History
Final

Edge Finder

76.18
 Total Score
77.06
43.37
 Field Goal %
44.93
31.12
 Three Point %
37.15
74.15
 Free Throw %
74.61
39.48
 Total Rebounds
34.12
76.18
 Total Score
77.06
43.37
 Field Goal %
44.93
74.15
 Free Throw %
74.61
31.12
 Three Point %
37.15
22.79
 Three's Attempts
25.94
7.09
 Three's Made
9.64
11.18
 Offensive
11.52
28.30
 Defensive
22.61
39.48
 Total Rebounds
34.12
11.91
 Assists
14.48
16.79
 Fouls
17.24
10.76
 Turnovers
12.21
5.39
 Steals
6.61

Head To Head

UNC
 Stat Type BAY
0-0
 Record
0-0
0-0
 ATS
0-0
0-0
 O/U
0-0
0.00
 Score
0.00
-
 Half Time Score
-
0.00%
 Field Goal Percentage
0.00%
-
 Rebounds
-
0/0
 3 Point Shots
0/0
0.00
 Steals
0.00
UNC
 Stat Type BAY
0-0
 Record
0-0
0-0
 ATS
0-0
0-0
 O/U
0-0
0.00
 Score
0.00
-
 Half Time Score
-
0.00%
 Field Goal Percentage
0.00%
-
 Rebounds
-
0/0
 3 Point Shots
0/0
0.00
 Steals
0.00

Team Records

UNC
 Record BAY
25-9
 All
27-6
15-2
 Home
15-2
8-3
 Away
8-3
2-4
 Neutral Site
4-1
22-4
 As Fav
27-4
3-5
 As Dog
0-2
17-16-1
 ATS
17-15-1
9-8
 ATS Home
9-8
6-4-1
 ATS Away
6-5
2-4
 ATS Neutral
2-2-1
20-14
 O/U
18-15
8-9
 O/U Home
10-7
8-3
 O/U Away
6-5
4-2
 O/U Neutral
2-3
UNC
 Record BAY
16-6
 All
14-5
8-2
 Home
7-2
7-3
 Away
7-2
1-1
 Neutral Site
0-1
14-4
 As Fav
14-3
2-2
 As Dog
0-2
13-8-1
 ATS
8-11
6-4
 ATS Home
3-6
6-3-1
 ATS Away
5-4
0-0
 ATS Neutral
0-0
14-8
 O/U
10-9
7-3
 O/U Home
5-4
7-3
 O/U Away
4-5
0-0
 O/U Neutral
0-0
UNC
 Record BAY
8-2
 All
8-2
3-1
 Home
4-0
3-0
 Away
3-1
2-1
 Neutral Site
1-1
6-2
 As Fav
8-1
2-0
 As Dog
0-1
7-3
 ATS
5-5
2-2
 ATS Home
2-2
3-0
 ATS Away
2-2
2-1
 ATS Neutral
1-1
6-4
 O/U
5-5
3-1
 O/U Home
3-1
2-1
 O/U Away
1-3
1-2
 O/U Neutral
1-1

Trends

  • North Carolina are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of North Carolina's last 14 games.
  • North Carolina are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games.
  • North Carolina are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference.
  • North Carolina are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games played in March.
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of North Carolina's last 8 games played on a Saturday.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina's last 5 games when playing as the underdog.
  • North Carolina are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games played on a Saturday when playing on the road.
  • Baylor are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baylor's last 8 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference.
  • The total has gone OVER in 15 of Baylor's last 18 games played in March.
  • Baylor are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games played on a Saturday.
  • Baylor are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games when playing as the favourite.

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
No Injuries to Report
Name Position Inj Desc
No Injuries to Report

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line Total ATS FG% FT% 3PTM
Mar 17, 2022MARQ95-63W-4153.50W/O45.9582.3513
Mar 11, 2022VTECH59-72L-3139.50L/U36.6785.713
Mar 10, 2022UVA63-43W-4130W/U38.4677.786
Mar 5, 2022DUKE94-81W+11153W/O48.5386.369
Feb 28, 2022CUSE88-79W-8.5157W/O40.8580.0014
Feb 26, 2022NCSU84-74W-4152W/O51.7991.305
Feb 21, 2022LOUIS70-63W-9.5144.50L/U49.0684.627
Feb 19, 2022VTECH65-57W+4.5144.50W/U44.9086.678
Feb 16, 2022PITT67-76L-13.5141.50L/O41.3875.007
Feb 12, 2022FSU94-74W-9145W/O55.2261.5412
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line Total ATS FG% FT% 3PTM
Mar 17, 2022NORF85-49W-20.5138W/U57.4157.1411
Mar 10, 2022OU67-72L-7.5133.50L/O38.4687.503
Mar 5, 2022IAST75-68W-12.5133L/O47.2757.698
Feb 28, 2022TEXAS68-61W-1.5135W/U40.7475.009
Feb 26, 2022KU80-70W-3148W/O48.2880.773
Feb 21, 2022OKST66-64W-5139L/U36.7687.509
Feb 19, 2022TCU72-62W-11138.50L/U47.0675.862
Feb 16, 2022TTECH73-83L+1.5136.50L/O43.8657.1411
Feb 12, 2022TEXAS80-63W-5.5131W/O50.0081.486
Feb 9, 2022KANST75-60W-6.5136.50W/U47.5476.474
View Game Logs