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Duke Hopes to Continue March Dominance With Win Over NC State

North Carolina State vs Duke Betting Preview

The Duke Blue Devils are 8-1 SU in their last nine games played in March, including last year’s successful run through the ACC tournament to a conference championship. The Blue Devils hope to have another strong conference run starting Thursday against the North Carolina State Wolfpack.

NC State Wolfpack vs Duke Blue Devils

Opening Odds Analysis

In the previous two meetings between these teams during the regular season, Duke was a 6.5-point favorite on the road against NC State and a 12-point favorite at home against the Wolfpack. As such, the Blue Devils’ current position as an 8-point favorite in a neutral location isn’t too surprising. The total of 152.5 points is also in line with the previous two meetings, which closed at 151.5 and 153.

North Carolina State News & Notes

NC State has successfully bounced back from its loss to Duke on March 2 with an 84-64 win over Wake Forest to wrap up the regular season and a 73-58 win over Pittsburgh to kick off the ACC tournament. Junior guard Devon Daniels led the way with 23 points against the Panthers and is averaging 15.8 points and 6.2 rebounds per game over the Wolfpack’s last nine games.

At 20-12 SU and 15-16-1 ATS on the season, the Wolfpack are right on the bubble for a spot in the NCAA Tournament. A second win over Duke would be enough to tip the scales in their favor while a loss like the one they suffered earlier this month to the Blue Devils (88-69) would make for a stressful Selection Sunday.

Duke News & Notes

After going 0-3 SU and ATS in its final three road games of the regular season, including an 88-66 loss to the Wolfpack, Duke finished strong at home with two straight blowouts over North Carolina State and North Carolina. Vernon Carey Jr. scored 25 points and added 10 rebounds against UNC to wrap up the regular season with averages of 17.8 points and 8.8 rebounds per game.

The Blue Devils clearly have the talent to make some noise in the NCAA Tournament, and now that the tournament will be played without fans due to the coronavirus, their road woes no longer seem relevant. But on the other hand, the team’s fans historically travel well, and the Blue Devils won’t have that support behind them this year.

Betting Pick: OVER 152.5

Both of these teams scored a blowout win against the other during the regular season, and both enter this game off back-to-back wins. The OVER is 8-0 in the last eight games between Duke and NC State; that trend is likely to continue regardless of who wins this one.

Shark Bites
  • NC State is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games as an underdog.
  • Duke is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games played on a Thursday.
  • The total has gone OVER in 13 of Duke’s last 16 games.