Duke A Boon For UNDER Bettors

Scoring has been at a premium during Duke’s games as of late, which has led to the team going under in nine of their past 10 games including seven consecutive heading into Saturday. The past 10 games have seen the Blue Devils face an average closing total of 151, while Duke and their opponents have a combined average of 144.5 points. The North Carolina Tar Heels will take the 10-mile trip up the highway to take on Duke Saturday.

Shark Bites
  • UNC is 8-2 ATS in their past 10 games at Cameron Indoor Stadium.
  • Duke is 8-2 SU in their past 10 games coming off three days rest.
  • UNC is 2-5 ATS in their last seven after losing a previous game in a matchup.

UNC has been struggling against their biggest rivals, as the Tar Hells have dropped their past four against Duke and have only covered once in that span. Brice Johnson continues to garner attention as one of the best players in the nation with the senior averaging 18.6 points and 12.4 rebounds in the past five games. Johnson netted 29 points and 19 rebounds while shooting 73 percent in the first game against Duke this season.

Duke is a perfect 5-0 SU in their past five at Cameron Indoor Stadium, but have only gone 2-3 ATS in those games. The Blue Devils have won by an average of 7.8 points through those five games, but have faced an average closing spread of -8.5. Duke would like to see some secondary scoring against UNC this time around as Grayson Allen and Brandon Ingram accounted for nearly 60 percent of the team’s offense in the first outing. 

Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick

If you were backing the North Carolina Tar Heels in this one, their betting line was listed as 1.5-point underdogs earlier in the day at Sportsbook.

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Duke Blue Devils Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The 22-8 and 14-14-1 ATS Duke Blue Devils will face the 24-6 North Carolina Tar Heels, who own a 11-17-2 ATS mark on the season. In totals betting, the Duke Blue Devils are 12-17 on the OVER/UNDER so far this season while the North Carolina Tar Heels are 16-14.

The Duke Blue Devils sit at No. 49 in the current college hoops power poll here at Odds Shark, while the North Carolina Tar Heels sit at No. 60 on the same chart.

Statistical Matchup

Scoring and defensive stats point to some betting edges in this matchup. The game features Duke's No. 15-ranked scoring average of 81.5 PPG, against a North Carolina Tar Heels defense rated No. 122 and allowing 70.6 PPG. The Duke Blue Devils FG% has averaged 46.47% to date this season, less than the North Carolina Tar Heels shooters have managed so far (48.09% per game).

Recent Outings Betting Recap

North Carolina got 14 points from Brice Johnson en route to a 75-70 victory over Syracuse on Monday at Dean Smith Center.

Duke earned a 79-71 victory over Wake Forest on Tuesday, getting 30 points from Grayson Allen at Cameron Indoor Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • North Carolina is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
  • North Carolina is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of North Carolina's last 9 games
  • North Carolina is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Duke is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Duke is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Duke's last 5 games
  • Duke is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
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