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The Gators Haven’t lost to the Vols at Home Since 2012

Tennessee vs Florida Betting Odds January 12

Although the SEC is usually owned by teams like Kentucky and Auburn, the Tennessee Volunteers are putting their claim to the crown as they head to Gainesville to face the Florida Gators. The No.3-ranked Vols are an excellent 13-1 SU in 14 games this season with their only loss coming to Kansas while the Gators are unranked and are 1-1 SU in two conference games with a loss against South Carolina.

The Volunteers opened as 3.5-point favorites (since moved to -2.5) with a total of 134.5.

  • The Vols are fourth in NCAA in field goal percentage (51.4 percent).
  • The Gators are 4-0 SU and ATS in the last 4 games when hosting the Volunteers.
  • The OVER has hit in all 3 of the Volunteers’ road games.

Tennessee vs Florida Game Center

Good Shots Leads to Good Wins for the Vols

Ranked fourth in the NCAA in field goal percentage, the Volunteers are showing that last year’s run during March Madness was not a one-off. The Vols have four players averaging double-digits in points with three of them averaging over 50 percent from the field.

Forward Admiral Schofield is making his best impression on NBA scouts as he is second on the team at 18 points per game and is shooting 45 percent from three-point range. He may have regressed a little since dropping 30 points on then No.1-ranked Gonzaga but he has hit six of his last nine shots from deep over the last three games. The average win margin for the Vols in those contests is an insane 37.6 points per game.

With how well they shoot and the fact that their only loss this season was to Kansas in overtime, I like them to go in and clamp down on the Gators, especially since they’re 4-0 SU and ATS in their last four road games dating back to last season.

Despite Struggles, Gators Rarely Lose at Home To Vols 

It’s been a long time since the Big Four roamed Gainesville and carried Florida to two national championships and going into the O’Connell Center isn’t as scary for the opposition as it used to be. The Gators dropped a tough one to an equally talented South Carolina squad last week and since Florida's leading scorer is only averaging 10.9 points per game, it’s tough sledding for the Gators to be competitive.

The Gators rank 201st in the NCAA in field goal percentage, 145th in three-point percentage and have only topped 90 points once against a chumpy squad like North Florida. The one part where the Gators may have the advantage is history is they have won four straight home games when hosting Tennessee and are 5-2 SU and ATS in the last seven games in this matchup. I’m not willing to cop to those trends but it does give life to Gators’ backers and their chances to pull off the upset.

Is another OVER in Store?

The total opened at 134.5 and trends are pointing to another OVER in this SEC matchup. The OVER has hit in all three of the Volunteers’ road games with an average combined score of 170.6 points per game. The OVER has also hit three of the last four games in this matchup with an average combined score of 136.5.

My Pick Is…

To take the Volunteers to win and cover the spread. I think the glory days of the Gators no longer applies and the Vols are one of the top-five teams in the nation so I fully expect them to go into Gainesville and roll them.