The Texas Longhorns have plenty of motivation with a state rival and possible tournament bid at stake as they host ninth-ranked Baylor Monday.
But they are just 0-6 against ranked foes this season heading into the key Big 12 basketball betting rematch in Austin. Baylor has lost three of their past four games overall.
Texas has won the past three meetings after Baylor has reeled off five straight ATS victories against the Longhorns.
So if you like unranked home favorites against ranked road underdogs, this is a rare situation for that betting angle.
View Baylor vs Texas Odds and Stats.
Betting Line:
Bettors looking to side with Texas in this one will find them as 2-point favorites at Sportsbook. The total was opened around 138.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Longhorns sit at No. 36 in the current college hoops power poll here at Odds Shark, while the Bears sit at No. 11 on the same chart. The computers running our scores simulations have concluded that the Bears will win this game 81-77.
How They Match Up:
Rating these schools in several key categories is important for handicappers and Texas has the nation's No. 51-rated offensive output, at 73.9 PPG. The visiting Bears defense ranks No. 85 allowing on average 63.4 PPG. The Longhorns FG% has averaged 44.2% so far, less than the Bears marksmen have achieved on the year, 47.8% per game.
Defensively, Baylor features the nation's No. 116-rated defense on the road, allowing 67.8 points per game. Texas, meanwhile, comes in at No. 109 nationally in scoring at home.
Baylor lost its last outing, a 57-56 result against Kansas State on February 18. They failed to cover in that game as a 7.5-point favorite. Quincy Acy scored 14 points in a futile effort to lead the Bears to a win (they lost 57-56 to Kansas State at Ferrell Center on Saturday).
Texas lost its last outing, a 90-78 result against Oklahoma State on February 18. They failed to cover in that game as a 3.5-point favorite. The Longhorns endured a 90-78 loss at the hands of the Cowboys on Saturday, despite a 22-point effort from Myck Kabongo at Gallagher-Iba Arena.
Baylor Bears Trends:
When playing on Monday are 5-5
Before playing Oklahoma are 6-4
After playing Kansas State are 5-5
After a loss are 5-5
Texas Longhorns Trends:
When playing on Monday are 5-5
Before playing Texas Tech are 5-5
After playing Oklahoma State are 7-3
After a loss are 6-4
A few Bears at Longhorns trends to consider:
Baylor is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baylor's last 5 games on the road
Baylor is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Baylor is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Baylor
Texas is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games
Next up:
Baylor home to Oklahoma, Saturday, February 25
Texas at Texas Tech, Saturday, February 25
