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Texas Tech Makes First-Ever Final Four Appearance vs Michigan State

The Big 12 regular-season champion Texas Tech Red Raiders have advanced to the Final Four for the first time in school history and they tip off against a perennial title challenger, the Michigan State Spartans. Texas Tech knocked off No. 2 Michigan and No. 1 Gonzaga in the West Region en route to its Final Four berth, while Michigan State topped Duke for its national semifinal appearance. The Spartans are 3-point favorites with the total opening at 133 points.

Texas Tech vs Michigan State Game Center

Standout Stats

  • It’s been rare to see either of these teams falter since early February. Texas Tech is 13-1 SU and 11-3 ATS in its last 14 contests, with its only defeat over that span coming against West Virginia in a Big 12 quarterfinal. Meanwhile, Michigan State is 14-1 SU and 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games, with its only loss coming at Indiana in early March.
  • The UNDER has been a solid bet for both squads recently as the total has gone UNDER in four of Texas Tech’s last seven contests and Michigan State went UNDER in five of its last six games. Of the Red Raiders’ last seven, three went UNDER 133 points, while only one of the Spartans’ last six went OVER 133 points.
  • The offensive advantage goes to Michigan State in this battle as it averages 78.3 points per game and Texas Tech chips in 73 ppg. However, the Red Raiders hold the edge defensively, surrendering just 59 ppg while the Spartans allow 65.1 ppg.
  • Both teams have versatile offenses with the majority of their points coming from two-point range, but Michigan State will pull up from downtown a little more frequently than Texas Tech. The overall shooting percentages are interesting as Sparty shoots 48.4 percent from the field and the Red Raiders bury 47.1 percent of their attempts but defensively, Texas Tech ranks second in opponent shooting percentage and Michigan State ranks third.
  • Expect Michigan State to have a sizable advantage on the glass as it secures 40.6 rebounds per game, while Texas Tech averages just 34.2 boards per game. Meanwhile, when it comes to ball possession, the momentum swings in the Red Raiders’ favor as the two teams are nearly equal in giveaways, but the Raiders rank 15th in the nation in takeaways compared with the Spartans’ No. 341 ranking.

My Best Bet for Texas Tech vs Michigan State

Michigan State -3

The Spartans’ versatile game play has proven difficult for opponents to overcome and I expect these difficulties to continue with the Red Raiders. Additionally, Michigan State head coach Tom Izzo has been in the Final Four seven times previously with this program and his experience should definitely be acknowledged.

The Spartans have a better offense and a nearly identical defense and should be able to advance to the national championship game for the first time since 2008-09.

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