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Texas Tech and Virginia Tip Off in National Championship Game

Following a long regular season, conference tournaments and surviving March Madness, the Texas Tech Red Raiders and the Virginia Cavaliers have made it to the other side and now collide for college hoops supremacy. This is the first time that either school has advanced to the national title game – Virginia fell twice previously in the Final Four while Texas Tech before this year had never gone to the Final Four. The Cavs are a 1.5-point favorite with the total opening at 117 points.

Texas Tech vs Virginia Game Center

Standout Stats

  • Texas Tech has been absolutely terrific since early February, going on a tear in which it went 14-1 SU and 13-2 ATS, including covering in all five of its March Madness games. Similarly, since mid-February, Virginia has been on cruise control with a record of 14-1 SU and 9-6 ATS and was favored by 5 or more points in every game over that span.
  • With two top defenses, it should come as no surprise that the UNDER has been a smart wager for these clubs with the total going UNDER in five of Virginia’s last seven contests and in four of Texas Tech’s last five. That being said, only two of the Cavaliers’ last seven have gone UNDER 117 points and two of the Red Raiders’ last five went UNDER 117, including a combined score of 112 vs Michigan State.
  • Neither team has been an offensive powerhouse this year, with Texas Tech averaging 72.6 points per game and Virginia counting 71.1. However, you don’t have to look far down the defensive rankings to find these teams, with the Cavaliers leading the nation by surrendering just 55.5 ppg and the Raiders two spots behind in third at 58.5 ppg allowed.
  • The offense comes from different areas of the floor for Virginia and Texas Tech, as the Cavaliers pull up from beyond the arc for 35.4 percent of their total scoring, while the Red Raiders get 51.8 percent of their offense from two-point range. Defensively, Texas Tech ranks eighth in opponent three-point percentage, while Virginia ranks 22nd in opponent shooting percentage inside the arc.
  • With Virginia electing to shoot more threes than Texas Tech, you would assume the Red Raiders would be the better rebounding team because they’re typically in around the net more, but you would be wrong. The Cavaliers secure 34.8 rebounds per game to the Raiders’ 34.1. The turnover battle could be an interesting one as Texas Tech creates the 17th-most takeaways, leading to extra offensive opportunities, but Virginia averages the fewest giveaways per game.

My Best Bet for Texas Tech vs Virginia

Virginia -1.5

I think both teams are extremely equal to the task to win the national title and I anticipate a fantastic final. The Cavaliers were able to slow down a seemingly unstoppable team in Auburn in the Final Four, restricting the Tigers to just 62 points, the fewest they had scored since getting beat 80-53 at Rupp Arena vs Kentucky on February 23.

I think Virginia matches up well against Texas Tech and if it can control the boards, the Cavs will be the team to cut down the nets for their first-ever championship.