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Trojans open as college hoops underdog vs Mean Green

Troy TrojansNorth Texas Mean Green
March 5, 7:30 PM | Summit Arena

Troy Trojans vs North Texas Mean Green Odds

8-20TEAM RECORD19-10

The North Texas Mean Green will try to pay off for their supporters on Saturday when they play host to the Trojans at Summit Arena in NCAAB action.

It's a game in the Sun Belt Tournament, which will decide the conference title, not to mention deciding which teams make the Field of 68. This matchup is a neutral-site affair being played at Summit Arena.

The Trojans will try to spoil to the party on Saturday; they are 10-11-1 ATS against the number this season, while the Mean Green are 8-12 ATS. Troy is 12-9 on the totals; North Texas is 12-6-1.

View Troy vs North Texas Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
On the opening NCAAB line for this matchup, North Texas sat as 6-point favorites.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Mean Green - Trojans odds would favor the Trojans if the lines were set according to our power ranks. North Texas is rated No. 204 in the current Odds Shark poll, while Troy is at No. 189. Mathematical models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 78-69 win for the Mean Green.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up North Texas's No. 32 nationally ranked offense (76.2 points per game) against a Trojans defense that sits as the No. 332 at 77.1 PPG. The Mean Green have been averaging 48% from the field, more than the Trojans have managed so far this season (40.7% on average).

Defensively, Troy features the nation's No. 320-rated defense on the road, allowing 78.9 points per game. North Texas, meanwhile, comes in at No. 39 nationally in scoring at home.

Troy lost its last outing, an 83-76 result against Florida International on February 26. They failed to cover in that game as a 4-point underdog. Troy suffered an 83-76 loss against Florida International on Saturday, getting 19 points from Regis Huddleston in a losing effort at U.S. Century Bank Arena.

North Texas won its last outing, a 72-69 result against Arkansas-Little Rock on March 1. They covered in that game as a 2-point underdog. Shannon Shorter scored 24 points leading the Mean Green to a 72-69 victory over Arkansas-Little Rock at Stephens Center on Tuesday.

Troy Trojans Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 8-2
After playing Florida International are 4-6
After a loss are 3-7

North Texas Mean Green Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 6-4
After playing Arkansas-Little Rock are 6-4
After a win are 6-4

A few Trojans at Mean Green trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Texas's last 5 games when playing Troy
The total has gone OVER in 10 of North Texas's last 14 games
North Texas is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Troy
North Texas is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games