The No. 1 Duke Blue Devils almost saw their title hopes go up in flames in their second-round matchup vs UCF but after squeaking out a last-minute win, they now face an ACC rival in the No. 4 Virginia Tech Hokies. The Hokies advanced easily from the first weekend after handling Saint Louis and Liberty and beat the Blue Devils during the regular season. However, Duke was without star freshman Zion Williamson and it’s safe to say the Blue Devils are a very different team with him in the lineup.
Duke opened as a 7-point favorite with a total of 144.
Virginia Tech vs Duke Game Center
STANDOUT STATS
My Best Bets for Virginia Tech vs Duke
OVER 144 and Duke -7
I think after Duke got that one scare out of the way that every national title contender goes through, that only makes the Blue Devils more dangerous. UCF had a matchup that it exploited repeatedly against Duke’s frontline in Tacko Fall and while I think Virginia Tech has some decent players, it doesn’t have any seven-foot-six centers.
Virginia Tech is going to have issues shooting the three-ball because Duke’s perimeter defense is among the best in the nation and they clamp down on teams that rely too much on outside shooting. Virginia Tech only beat Duke by five points with Zion out of the lineup and he floats all boats when he’s on the floor. His presence opens up space for RJ Barrett and Cam Reddish to create offense and be more effective, so I think Duke rolls to the Elite Eight.
I also think that the OVER is the best way to bet the total because one of the main reasons why Duke has been a great UNDER team is how inflated the totals have been. They’ve routinely been at 155 or higher but in six games this season when it’s set at 145 or lower, the OVER has hit in five of them.