It should be a surprise to no one but Alabama has routinely beaten up on Mississippi State. The Tide have won the past nine meetings between the two programs with an average scoring margin of +23.6 points per game. They look to make it 10 in a row vs Mississippi State when they travel to Starkville on Saturday.
- Mississippi State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games as a double-digit home underdog.
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Alabama’s last 10 games against Mississippi State.
- Mississippi State is 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home.
Alabama quarterback Jalen Hurts accounted for 447 offensive yards and five touchdowns against Mississippi State last season, as the Tide destroyed the Bulldogs 51-3. Hurts led the offense to a ridiculous 615 total yards and 8.5 yards per play.
It was not pretty but Alabama rode its dinged-up defense to a 24-10 victory over LSU last week. However, the Tide likely lost linebackers Shaun Dion Hamilton and Mack Wilson for an extended period of time while defensive back Minkah Fitzpatrick was only used in a situational capacity after being hurt.
Since dropping their first two conference games, Mississippi State has rattled off four straight wins while averaging 37.3 ppg. Quarterback Nick Fitzgerald has been humming for the Bulldogs, as the junior has accounted for an average of 283.5 offensive yards per game during the team’s winning streak. That being said, Mississippi State is coming off a lackluster victory over UMass.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
Betting fans going with the Mississippi State Bulldogs in this game found them listed as 14.5-point underdogs on the betting odds menu at Sportsbook earlier in the week.
Handicapping prediction models run by the computers at OddsShark picked a 42-26 result in favor of the Crimson Tide. Check the picks page or matchup report during the week as factors may cause that prediction to be re-run. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.
Alabama Crimson Tide vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
The Alabama Crimson Tide will look to cover ATS vs their hosts on Saturday, as they are 4-5 versus the spread this season, while the Mississippi State Bulldogs are 6-3 ATS. Alabama is 4-5 against the OVER/UNDER total, while Mississippi State is 3-6 versus the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Mississippi State vs Alabama injuries news.
The game pits the Bulldogs, currently No. 22 in our OddsShark NCAA Football Power Rankings, against the Crimson Tide, who rate No. 1 in the latest survey.
Statistical Matchup
Offensively, the game matches up the Mississippi State Bulldogs' No. 31-ranked offense (33.89 PPG) against a Alabama Crimson Tide defense that ranks No. 1 at 9.78 PPG. The Bulldogs passing attack has averaged 169.44 yards per game, more than the Crimson Tide give up through the air (168 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Crimson Tide feature the league's No. 1-rated road run defense, allowing 55.5 yards per game. Mississippi State, meanwhile, ranks No. 9 in rushing offense at home.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
The Crimson Tide grabbed a Week 10 victory over the Tigers in their last game, winning 24-10 at Bryant-Denny Stadium.
In their last game, Mississippi State got a 135-yard performance from Nick Fitzgerald as a key part of its 34-23 win over Massachusetts.
- Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
- Alabama is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
- Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Alabama's last 8 games on the road
- Mississippi State is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
- Mississippi State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 7 games
- Mississippi State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Next Betting Matchups
Alabama home to Mercer, Saturday, November 18
Mississippi State at Arkansas, Saturday, November 18
