The Alabama Crimson Tide have dominated on the field going 20-5 SU in their last 25, but the story has been different at the betting window with the Tide going just 8-16-1 ATS in that span. ‘Bama will look to fix that for bettors when they visit Mississippi State Saturday.
Alabama is coming off their biggest win of the season with a 30-16 victory over LSU last week. Running back Derrick Henry has been playing out of his mind over the past three games with 589 rushing yards and seven touchdowns, including three last week against LSU.
Mississippi State is still technically alive in the SEC West, but will need a lot of help for that to happen. Quarterback Dak Prescott is not getting Heisman looks this season, but the senior signal caller has thrown for 18 touchdowns with only one interception while adding seven rushing touchdowns.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
The openeing line saw Mississippi State as 7-point dogs, but have since shifted -8. The total is set at 50.5 to 52 across the board as of Friday.
Prediction-scoring formulas run on this game pick a potential 34-33 result in favor of the Bulldogs. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.
Alabama Crimson Tide vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
This season the Mississippi State Bulldogs are 7-2 overall and 6-3 ATS against the spread, while the Crimson Tide are 8-1 and 4-5 ATS. As for the totals, Mississippi State is 4-5 on the OU, and Alabama is 3-5-1 Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Mississippi State vs Alabama injuries news.
The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Mississippi State Bulldogs rated this week at No. 28 and the Alabama Crimson Tide sitting at No. 2.
Statistical Matchup
Offensively, the game matches up the Mississippi State Bulldogs No. 37-ranked offense (34.67 PPG) against a Alabama Crimson Tide defense that ranks No. 7 at 16.33 PPG. The Mississippi State Bulldogs passing attack has averaged 296.33 yards per game, more than the Alabama Crimson Tide give up through the air (189.56 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Alabama Crimson Tide feature the league's No. 14-rated road run defense, allowing 112.5 yards per game. Mississippi State, meanwhile, ranks No. 96 in rushing offense at home.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
The Crimson Tide grabbed a Week 10 victory over the Tigers in their last game, winning 30-16 at Bryant-Denny Stadium.
Dak Prescott led his team to victory last time out, throwing for 303 yards Thursday as the Bulldogs downed the Tigers 31-13 at Memorial Stadium.
Next Betting Matchups
Alabama home to Charleston Southern, Saturday, November 21st
Mississippi State at Arkansas, Saturday, November 21st