The Alabama Crimson Tide head out on the road for the first time this season as they go to battle with the Ole Miss Rebels at the Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. ’Bama pushed its record to 2-0 with an impressive 57-7 win over Arkansas State in Week 2 and opened as a 21-point favorite over Ole Miss, which is also 2-0 this year. These two schools have had an average combined score of 80 over their last three meetings and the total opened at 71 points.
- Alabama is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games against Ole Miss.
- Ole Miss is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home.
- The total has gone OVER in eight of Ole Miss’s last 10 games against its conference.
Alabama vs Ole Miss Game Center
Alabama continues to strike fear through the SEC
Alabama quarterback Tua Tagovailoa had almost identical numbers in the first two games of the season. In Week 1, the Hawaii native went 12-for-16 for 227 yards and two touchdowns in a 51-14 victory, while last week he went 13-for-19 for 228 yards and four touchdowns in a 57-7 win. Last year’s starter Jalen Hurts was also impressive in the Arkansas State game, coming off the bench for 93 yards and two touchdowns of his own. Alabama is typically known for its shutdown defense and this is the first time in more than 90 years that the Crimson Tide have scored 50 or more points in each of their first two games.
The Crimson Tide are 28-2 SU in the last 30 games in the SEC and have also gone 9-6-1 ATS in their last 16 divisional games. Their dominance doesn’t end when they head out on the road as Alabama is 26-4 SU and 16-13-1 ATS in its last 30 road games vs the SEC. In those 26 divisional road victories, the Crimson Tide had an average winning margin of 22.5.
Offense carrying Ole Miss through first two weeks
The Rebels head into Week 3 with a 2-0 record for the second straight season and through those two wins, Ole Miss has racked up an astounding 123 points. The Rebels came out firing to begin the season, outlasting Southern Illinois 76-41, and followed that up with a 47-27 win over Texas Tech in Week 2. Senior quarterback Jordan Ta’amu has completed 69.2 percent of his throws for a total of 784 yards, seven touchdowns and no interceptions. The Hawaii native may have an opportunity to feast on Alabama’s defense that has allowed 470 passing yards through the first two games.
Ole Miss has scuffled in divisional games recently, dropping 10 of its last 14 games and going 4-9-1 ATS over that span. Meanwhile, things don’t get any easier at home as the Rebels are 1-5 SU and ATS over their last six home games vs the SEC. Over the last 22 meetings with Alabama since 1995, Ole Miss is just 4-18 SU, including 3-8 at home, but is 12-10 ATS over that span.
UNDER Trending with two high-powered offenses
Alabama and Ole Miss have combined for 231 points through the first two weeks of the season and Sportsbook has this week's total Sportsbook at 71 points. The Crimson Tide and Rebels have gone OVER 71 points in just two of their last 20 meetings. Meanwhile, the Rebels have gone OVER 71 points in 10 of their last 30 home games. However, Ole Miss has also gone OVER 71 points in five of its last 10 home games against the SEC. Lastly, Alabama has gone OVER 71 points in just three of its last 30 road games vs the SEC.
My take on Alabama at Ole Miss
Until a team can slow down the Crimson Tide offense, I’m taking them on the -21 point spread. ’Bama has always been known to be a defensive squad and has only allowed 21 points through the first two games but now it has a relentless offense that seems nearly unstoppable when its first unit is on the field. Ole Miss has already allowed 1,115 total yards and 68 points, and although it has flexed its offensive muscles as well, I don’t know if the Rebels can do that against the Crimson Tide.
