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Point Spread Favors the Mustangs in NCAA College Football Battle with the Arkansas State Red Wolves

Getting a win and covering the posted spread will be the goals for the Arkansas State Red Wolves on Saturday when they take on the SMU Mustangs at Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Week 4 action.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Several shops tracked by Odds Shark (including Bovada) set the point spread at -3.5 for the SMU Mustangs . NCAA football bettors had to wait for the opening over under value, which was not available at press time (check the live lines pages here for the latest totals updates).

Prediction-scoring formulas run on this game pointed to a potential 37-26 result in favor of the Red Wolves early in the week. That outcome may change during the week, if injuries alter the models, so check the college football picks page before game time. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs SMU Mustangs Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The SMU Mustangs sport a record of 2-1 and 3-0 ATS heading into this betting matchup, while the Arkansas State Red Wolves sit at 1-1 and 1-1 ATS on the season. The over under totals records are 3-0 for the Mustangs and 1-1 for the Red Wolves. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and SMU vs Arkansas State injuries news.

The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the SMU Mustangs rated this week at No. 90 and the Arkansas State Red Wolves sitting at No. 21.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits SMU's No. 6-ranked offense, averaging 49.33 PPG, against a Arkansas State defense that ranks No. 62 this week at 23 PPG. The SMU aerial game is averaging 318.33 yards per game, more than the Arkansas State Red Wolves secondary allows through the air, 231 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Arkansas State Red Wolves feature the league's No. 87-rated road run defense, allowing 225 yards per game. SMU, meanwhile, ranks No. 71 in rushing offense at home.

Ben Hicks led the way last time out for the Mustangs, connecting for 305 passing yards, but failing to earn the victory in a 56-36 loss to the Mustangs at Amon Carter Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Arkansas State is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
  • Arkansas State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arkansas State's last 6 games on the road
  • Southern Methodist is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Southern Methodist is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games
  • Southern Methodist is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Arkansas State at Georgia Southern, Wednesday, October 4th
SMU home to UCONN, Saturday, September 30th