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Can Auburn’s Ground Game Slow LSU’s Aerial Attack?

The 7-0 LSU Tigers face arguably their toughest test of the season this week when they host Auburn on Saturday afternoon in an SEC clash of top-10 squads. LSU has dominated Auburn over the years at Baton Rouge, winning the last nine meetings by an average of 16 points per game.

Matchup Information
  • Auburn Tigers vs LSU Tigers (Matchup Report)
  • Date/Time: October 26, 3:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Coverage: CBS
  • Opening Odds: LSU -11 | O/U 59.5 (Line History)

Opening Odds Analysis

The 11-point opener is the least that LSU has been favored by since a Week 2 game at Texas, when the Tigers were 6.5-point road chalk. Auburn has struggled recently as a double-digit underdog, covering just four of its last 14 when catching 11 points or more.

Auburn News & Notes

Coming off a subpar showing in a loss at Florida in his previous game, Auburn QB Bo Nix probably gained a lot of his confidence back with a strong performance last week in Arkansas. The freshman threw for three touchdowns — two of them coming in a 22-second span in the third quarter — and ran for another as the Tigers routed Arkansas 51-10 to move back into the top 10 of the AP poll. Auburn’s offense struggled in the opening half, gaining just 118 total yards if you exclude a 52-yard run, before blowing the game open in the third frame.

Auburn’s 51 points was the second-most the Tigers have scored on the road vs an SEC opponent since 2014. Considering how prolific the LSU offense has been this year, it’s safe to say Auburn will need another great performance from Nix if it’s going to have any hope of hanging tough in this one.

LSU News & Notes

How times have changed at LSU. Before this season, a Tigers quarterback throwing for four touchdowns on the road in SEC play would have been cause for a parade. But the success of LSU’s uptempo attack has raised the bar in Baton Rouge. That’s why Joe Burrow was critical of his team’s performance following a 36-13 victory at Mississippi State last week.

“If we play like this (against Auburn), we’ll lose. I think we’re going to have to execute much better in the red zone, because I don’t think we’ll have as many opportunities,” Burrow told reporters.

Yes, LSU did settle for field goals on each of its first three drives, struggling on third down throughout the first half. Still, the Tigers scored on each of their first-half drives before blowing the game open with a pair of majors in the third quarter. Burrow set a school record with his 29th touchdown pass of the season, and he’s still got several games to go.

Betting Pick: LSU -11

Auburn might keep things close for a while by running the ball and milking clock. But once the Tigers fall behind, they don’t have the firepower to keep up with this LSU attack.

Shark Bites
  • Auburn is 7-1 SU and ATS in its last 8 games.
  • LSU is 7-1-1 ATS in its last 9 games.
  • Auburn is 0-9 SU in its last 9 games on the road vs LSU.