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Baylor Bears vs Texas Tech Red Raiders in NCAAF odds tilt

Texas Tech Red RaidersBaylor Bears
Nov 24, 2:30 PM | Turf of Floyd Casey Stadium

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Baylor Bears Odds


Coming off its upset of No. 1 Kansas State, 5-5 Baylor goes in search of bowl-eligibility when it rumbles with 7-4 Texas Tech Saturday afternoon at Cowboys Stadium in Arlington (2:30 pm ET, Fox).

The Bears, who just shocked the heck out of the top-ranked Wildcats, were early two-point road favorites over the Raiders, who have lost three of their last four games.

View Texas Tech vs Baylor Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: Baylor were sitting as 2-point favorites earlier in the week at Bovada. The total was to be set a bit later in the week for over under betting purposes.

Power Rankings / Prediction: The game pits the Bears, currently No. 62 in our OddsShark NCAAF Power Rankings, against the Red Raiders, who rate No. 24 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 44-43 victory for the Red Raiders.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Baylor's No. 5-ranked offense (43.6 PPG) against a Red Raiders defense that ranks No. 82 at 30 PPG. The Bears passing attack has averaged 354.7 yards per game, more than the Red Raiders give up through the air (177.6 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Red Raiders feature the league's No. 66-rated road run defense, allowing 175.6 yards per game. Baylor, meanwhile, ranks No. 17 in rushing offense at home.

Texas Tech lost its last outing, a 59-21 result against Oklahoma State on November 17. Texas Tech failed to cover in that game as a 10-point underdog, while the 80 combined points took the game OVER the total. Last time out, Texas Tech could not slow down WinningWR, who managed 140 receiving yards in the Cowboys 59-21 victory over the Red Raiders Saturday.

Last time out for Baylor, they were a 52-24 winner as they battled Kansas State at home. Baylor covered in the match as a 12-point underdog, while 76 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Lache Seastrunk went over the 100-yard mark (185) in his team's latest effort as Baylor defeated Kansas State by a score of 52-24 on Saturday.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Trends:
When playing in November are 3-7
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 4-6

Baylor Bears Trends:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 5-5

A few Red Raiders at Bears trends to consider:
Texas Tech is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing Baylor
Texas Tech is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Baylor
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas Tech's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 5 games
Baylor is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home
Baylor is 11-2-1 ATS in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baylor's last 8 games
Baylor is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games

Next up:
Baylor home to Oklahoma State, Saturday, December 1