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Best College Football Stats, Trends and Picks for Week 11

College Football Stats, Trends and Picks

The Alabama Crimson Tide proved they were the real deal last week by going into Death Valley and shutting out then-No. 3 LSU 29-0, hitting the UNDER and covering the 14.5-point spread that seemed crazy before the game. This week, there are four contests with ranked teams and bettors will be interested to know that the favorite in games between ranked squads has covered the spread in 19 of 33 games.

Sportsbooks were on the ball last week when setting their totals as it was a pretty even split for the OVER/UNDER with the O/U record going 31-30-1. Once again, though, unranked teams continue to take the points they are given when playing ranked teams, going 9-6-1 ATS last week, and are now 94-64-1 ATS on the season.

Without further ado, here are the top trends, stats and picks for the best games in Week 11. I also provide my best bets for the week based on the information below.

My Best College Football Bets for Week 11

  • Alabama -23.5
  • Ohio State -3.5
  • Clemson -20
  • Florida State @ Notre Dame OVER 53
  • Oklahoma State @ Oklahoma OVER 79
  • Auburn +14.5
  • LSU @ Arkansas UNDER 48
  • Michigan @ Rutgers OVER 48
  • Washington State -6
  • Kentucky -5.5
  • West Virginia -11.5
  • Navy +25
Mississippi State at Alabama
  • Mississippi State is 0-10 SU in its last 10 games vs Alabama. (Avg losing margin: 21.9)
  • The total has gone UNDER in eight of Mississippi State's last 11 games vs Alabama. (Avg combined score: 39.64)
  • Alabama is 11-0 SU in its last 11 games. (Avg winning margin: 32.36)
  • The total has gone OVER in seven of Alabama's last 10 games. (Avg combined score: 63.8)
  • The total has gone UNDER in Mississippi State's last six games. (Avg combined score: 32.83)
  • Mississippi State is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games vs its conference.
  • Alabama has scored the most points per game in the nation this season. (51.3)
  • Mississippi State has allowed the second-fewest points per game in the nation this season. (12.3)
Ohio State at Michigan State
  • Ohio State is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games vs Michigan State.
  • The total has gone UNDER in Ohio State's last three games vs Michigan State. (Avg combined score: 38.33)
  • Ohio State is 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in its last six games on the road vs Michigan State. (Avg winning margin: 16.0)
  • The total has gone UNDER in Michigan State's last four games. (Avg combined score: 32.25)
  • Michigan State is 1-5 ATS in its last six games at home.
  • The total has gone OVER in six of Ohio State's last seven games on the road. (Avg combined score: 64.0)
  • Ohio State is 0-5 ATS in its last five games.
  • Ohio State averages the third-most passing yards per game in the nation this season. (369.1)
  • Michigan State allows the fewest rushing yards per game in the nation this season. (71.7)
Clemson at Boston College
  • Clemson is 7-0 SU in its last seven games vs Boston College. (Avg winning margin: 20.0)
  • Boston College is 6-0 ATS in its last six games vs its conference.
  • Boston College is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games at home vs teams with winning records.
  • Clemson is 13-0 SU in its last 13 games on the road vs teams with winning records.
  • The total has gone OVER in Clemson's last four games on the road. (Avg combined score: 64.75)
  • Clemson is 4-0 ATS in its last four games.
  • Boston College has grabbed the fourth-most interceptions in the nation this season. (14)
  • Clemson has scored the fourth-most points per game in the nation this season. (47.8)
  • Clemson has the third-most sacks in the nation this season. (32)
Florida State at Notre Dame
  • Florida State is 3-0 SU in its last three games vs Notre Dame. (Avg winning margin: 15.0)
  • The total has gone OVER in five of Notre Dame's last six games. (Avg combined score: 59.5)
  • Notre Dame is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games. (Avg winning margin: 13.3)
  • The total has gone OVER in five of Florida State's last six games. (Avg combined score: 60.33)
  • Florida State is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games on the road.
  • Florida State has allowed the 10th-most passing yards per game in the nation this season. (282.6)
  • Florida State averages the third-fewest rushing yards per game in the nation this season. (76.9)
Oklahoma State at Oklahoma
  • Oklahoma State is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games vs Oklahoma.
  • Oklahoma State is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games vs Oklahoma.
  • The total has gone OVER in three of Oklahoma State's last four games vs Oklahoma. (Avg combined score: 81.5)
  • The total has gone OVER in eight of Oklahoma's last 10 games. (Avg combined score: 79.5)
  • Oklahoma is 8-0 SU in its last eight games at home. (Avg winning margin: 27.75)
  • Oklahoma State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games after a loss.
  • Oklahoma has scored the third-most points per game in the nation this season. (49.1)
Auburn at Georgia
  • The total has gone UNDER in four of Auburn's last five games vs Georgia. (Avg combined score: 37.2)
  • Auburn is 0-5 SU and ATS in its last five games on the road vs Georgia. (Avg losing margin: 20.6)
  • Georgia is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games at home. (Avg winning margin: 28.6)
  • Georgia is 3-1 ATS in its last four games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of Auburn's last seven games. (Avg combined score: 43.14)
  • Auburn is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games.
  • Georgia has allowed the 10th-fewest points per game in the nation this season. (16.4)
  • Auburn has the eighth-most sacks in the nation this season. (29)
LSU at Arkansas
  • LSU is 5-2 SU in its last seven games vs Arkansas.
  • LSU is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games vs Arkansas.
  • The total has gone UNDER in three of LSU's last four games vs Arkansas. (Avg combined score: 38.25)
  • Arkansas is 0-8 SU in its last eight games vs its conference.
  • Arkansas is 4-1 ATS in its last five games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in LSU's last five games on the road vs teams with losing records.
  • LSU is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games vs its conference.
  • LSU has grabbed the second-most interceptions in the nation this season. (15)
Michigan at Rutgers
  • Michigan is 3-1 ATS in its last four games vs Rutgers.
  • The total has gone OVER in Michigan's last four games vs Rutgers. (Avg combined score: 60.5)
  • Michigan is 3-0 SU in its last three games vs Rutgers. (Avg winning margin: 44.0)
  • Rutgers is 0-8 SU in its last eight games. (Avg losing margin: 23.88)
  • Michigan is 6-0 SU in its last six games vs its conference.
  • The total has gone UNDER in Michigan's last five games on the road. (Avg combined score: 37.0)
  • Rutgers has scored the fewest points per game in the nation this season. (15.3)
  • Michigan has allowed the fifth-fewest points per game in the nation this season. (13.6)
  • Michigan has allowed the fewest passing yards per game in the nation this season. (122.3)
Washington State at Colorado
  • Washington State is 3-1 ATS in its last four games on the road vs Colorado.
  • The total has gone UNDER in eight of Colorado's last 11 games. (Avg combined score: 57.45)
  • Colorado is 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS in its last four games vs its conference.
  • Colorado is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home.
  • Washington State is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games.
  • The total has gone OVER in nine of Washington State's last 12 games. (Avg combined score: 60.92)
  • Washington State averages the second-fewest rushing yards per game in the nation this season. (71.8)
  • Washington State averages the most passing yards per game in the nation this season. (397.4)
Kentucky at Tennessee
  • Kentucky is 0-11 SU in its last 11 games on the road vs Tennessee. (Avg losing margin: 23.0)
  • Kentucky is 1-5 ATS in its last six games vs Tennessee.
  • The total has gone OVER in Kentucky's last four games vs Tennessee. (Avg combined score: 69.75)
  • Tennessee is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games at home.
  • The total has gone OVER in seven of Tennessee's last 10 games vs its conference.
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of Kentucky's last six games. (Avg combined score: 34.0)
  • Kentucky is 2-7 SU and ATS in its last nine games on the road vs teams with losing records.
  • Kentucky allows the eighth-fewest points per game in the nation this season. (15.3)
TCU at West Virginia
  • TCU is 3-1 SU in its last four games vs West Virginia.
  • TCU is 1-4 ATS in its last five games vs West Virginia.
  • The total has gone UNDER in TCU's last four games vs West Virginia. (Avg combined score: 52.5)
  • West Virginia is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games at home.
  • West Virginia is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home vs teams with losing records.
  • The total has gone UNDER in six of TCU's last seven games on the road. (Avg combined score: 42.14)
  • TCU is 0-6 ATS in its last six games.
  • West Virginia averages the sixth-most passing yards per game in the nation this season. (333.1)
Navy at UCF
  • Central Florida is 12-0 SU in its last 12 games at home. (Avg winning margin: 26.75)
  • Central Florida is 21-0 SU in its last 21 games. (Avg winning margin: 23.52)
  • Central Florida is 5-1 ATS in its last six games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in four of Central Florida's last five games. (Avg combined score: 65.4)
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of Navy's last 10 games on the road. (Avg combined score: 55.4)
  • Navy is 0-8 SU in its last eight games on the road. (Avg losing margin: 14.63)
  • Navy is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games.
  • UCF is scoring the sixth-most points per game in the nation this season. (45.4)
  • Navy averages the third-most rushing yards per game in the nation this season. (287.4)
  • UCF averages the fifth-most rushing yards per game in the nation this season. (268.3)

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