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Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Hosting the Bowling Green Falcons Week 1 Odds and Betting Pick

Bowling Green Falcons


Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Friday, August 29, 2014 7:30 PM ET
L.T. Smith Stadium

The Falcons were on a five-game winning streak before they closed out last season with a tight 30-27 loss to Pittsburgh in the Little Caesars Pizza Bowl as a 6.5-point favorite. Even with that upset loss Bowling Green was still 10-4 SU and ATS, and went 6-1 ATS on the road.

The Hilltoppers were on a four-game winning streak at the end of last season and had won seven of their last nine games. The wins didn’t do much for bettors though, as Western Kentucky was only 5-7 ATS last season. As a favorite the Hilltoppers posted a disappointing 3-6 ATS record.

Bowling Green Falcons vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Opening Odds and Betting Line

On the betting opening line for this matchup, the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers sat as 7.5-point underdogs, according to 5Dimes. The total had not been posted early in the week, so check the lines pages for the latest.

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Computer Prediction: Bowling Green Falcons vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Pick

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 42-30 win for the Falcons. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

Bowling Green Falcons vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Odds and Stats.

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Supporters of the Bowling Green Falcons have seen them go 10-4 and 10-4 ATS so far this season, while the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are at 8-4 and 5-7 ATS. In totals betting, the Hilltoppers are 5-7, while the Falcons are 5-9. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Western Kentucky vs Bowling Green injuries news.

The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at No. 50 and the Bowling Green Falcons at No. 6 heading into this contest.

How Bowling Green Falcons vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Stats Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers No. 53-ranked offense (30.83 PPG) against a Bowling Green Falcons defense that ranks No. 5 at 15.86 PPG. The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers passing attack has averaged 261.67 yards per game, more than the Bowling Green Falcons give up through the air (170.86 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Bowling Green Falcons feature the league's No. 18-rated road run defense, allowing 121.86 yards per game. Western Kentucky, meanwhile, ranks No. 41 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In their last action, Bowling Green was a 30-27 loser at home against Pittsburgh. They failed to cover the 6.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (57) was profitable news for OVER bettors. In their last game, the Falcons were Little Caesars Pizza Bowl losers coming out on the wrong end of 30-27 score against Pittsburgh.

Western Kentucky won its last outing, a 34-31 result against Arkansas State on November 30. Western Kentucky failed to cover in that game as a 6-point favorite, while the 65 combined points took the game OVER the total. In their last game, Western Kentucky got a 119-yard performance from Antonio Andrews as a key part of its 34-31 win over Arkansas State.

Next Betting Matchups

Bowling Green home to VMI, Saturday, September 6th
Western Kentucky at Illinois, Saturday, September 6th