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Broncos visit Lobos in Week 5 NCAAF clash

Boise State BroncosNew Mexico Lobos
Sep 29, 6:00 PM | Grass of University Stadium

Boise State Broncos vs New Mexico Lobos Odds


The New Mexico Lobos host Boise State on Saturday, looking to build on their 1-2 ATS mark against the 2-1 Broncos in NCAAF action at University Stadium.

The Broncos will try to spoil to the party on Saturday; they are 2-1 ATS against the number this season, while the Lobos are 1-2 ATS. Boise State is 0-3 on the totals; New Mexico is 0-3.

View Boise State vs New Mexico Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: The visitors opened as 30-point favorites in this one at most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark. No total had been posted as yet, check the live lines pages in the coming days to see where the number opened.

Power Rankings / Prediction: The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Lobos rated this week at No. 89 and the Broncos sitting at No. 38. It may or may not play a role in OddsShark score prediction models that turned out a 31-17 result in favor of the Broncos this week.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits New Mexico's No. 77-ranked offense, averaging 26.8 PPG, against a Broncos defense that ranks No. 10 this week at 11.7 PPG. The Lobos aerial game is averaging 60 yards per game, less than the Broncos secondary allows through the air, 162.3 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Broncos feature the league's No. 78-rated road run defense, allowing 213 yards per game. New Mexico, meanwhile, ranks No. 6 in rushing offense at home.

In their last action, Boise State was a 7-6 winner at home against BYU. They failed to cover the 6-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (13) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. D.J. Harper tore up the turf for 112 rushing yards in the latest Broncos game, a 7-6 win over the Cougars at Bronco Stadium.

Last time out for New Mexico, they were a 27-14 winner as they battled New Mexico State on the road. New Mexico covered in the match as a 5-point underdog, while 41 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. In their last game, New Mexico got a 129-yard performance from Kasey Carrier as a key part of its 27-14 win over New Mexico State.

Boise State Broncos Trends:
When playing in September are 10-0
When playing on grass are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When playing within the conference are 8-2

New Mexico Lobos Trends:
When playing in September are 2-8
When playing on grass are 3-7
After outgaining opponent are 1-9
When playing within the conference are 1-9

A few Broncos at Lobos trends to consider:
Boise State is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Boise State is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boise State's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boise State's last 5 games on the road
New Mexico is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games at home
New Mexico is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games

Next up:
Boise State at Southern Miss, Saturday, October 6
New Mexico home to Texas State, Saturday, October 6