NCAAF

Clemson Tigers vs Pittsburgh Panthers

Clemson
Tigers
12 - 0
Pittsburgh
Panthers
7 - 5
December 01, 2018, 8:00 PM EST
 | Bank of America Stadium

Game Preview

Clemson
Tigers
12 - 0
Pittsburgh
Panthers
7 - 5
December 01, 2018, 8:00 PM EST
 | Bank of America Stadium
  • We all know not to bet the Pitt moneyline in the ACC championship game, but does betting the underdog Panthers make the most sense on Saturday in Charlotte? Clemson has been beating teams by large margins this season, but Sportsbook at a spread of 26.5 points in a championship game shines the light on an unflattering statistic for Tigers bettors. Clemson has only covered the spread once this season in six games as a favorite of 21 points or more and is 2-8 ATS in the same spot since September 2017.

    SHARK BITES
    • Clemson is 2-8 ATS as a favorite of 21 points or more since September 2017.
    • Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games.
    • Clemson is 29-3 SU in its last 32 games (losses to Alabama, Syracuse and Pittsburgh).

    Pittsburgh vs Clemson ACC Championship Game Center

    Spread Keeps Climbing

    Even as I’m writing this article, the money is pouring in on Clemson with the Sportsbook spread of 20 points already up to 26.5 as of Monday evening. This season, favorites of 25 points or more compiled a 65-83-2 ATS record.

    Historically, Pittsburgh has only been an underdog of more than 25 points five times since 1997, covering the spread each time and going 2-3 SU. The Panthers were a dog of more than 21 points only once this season, vs Notre Dame on October 13. That game ended 19-14 for the Fighting Irish.

    Common Opponents

    Pitt was 8-4 ATS this season and had four opponents in common with Clemson: Georgia Tech, Syracuse, Duke and Wake Forest. Both teams went 4-0 SU in those games. Pittsburgh was perfect against the spread while the Tigers lost ATS to Syracuse and Duke.

    Teams Georgia Tech Syracuse Wake Forest Duke
    Clemson  49-21  27-23 63-3 35-6
    Pittsburgh 24-19 44-37 34-13 54-45

    My Best Bet for The ACC Championship

    I looked for all the reasons I could find to bet the Panthers as the underdog in this game, but the more research I did, the more it seems to me that Pitt is going to be held under 10 points in this game, so I’m jumping on the Clemson side of the spread.

    Pitt’s passing offense compiled a motley 153.4 yards per game this season to finish 120th in the FBS. The rushing attack, led by Qadree Ollison, averaged 232.7 yards per game but those numbers are deceiving. Ollison’s biggest games were against some of the worst rush defenses in the league – Duke (117th), Virginia Tech (103rd) and Penn State (73rd).

    When you look at how Ollison made out against top teams, the numbers are a lot less flattering. He gained 49 yards in a 31-point loss to UCF and managed just 50 yards against Notre Dame. So what do we think is going to happen when the Panthers’ O-line and rushing attack comes up against the No. 2 rush defense of Clemson?

    Not only is it one of the top defensive teams in college football, Clemson dominated offensively this season, scoring an average of 34.9 points per game on an average of 458 scrimmage yards per game. Since the beginning of October, the Tigers are scoring an average of 51.14 points per game and allowing an average of 12.

    Clemson is flat-out dominant right now and could very well blow the Panthers out of the water in the ACC championship.

Odds

Saturday, December 1 Sat Dec 1


Opening
Current

Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
-20
-110
-2775
o58
-110
+20
-110
+1725
u58
-110
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
-27.5
-115
-4700
o53
-115
+27.5
-105
+1540
u53
-105

Edge Finder

26.31
Total Score
41.43
191.15
Passing Yards
337.36
168.00
Rushing Yards
149.14
29:05
Time on Field
30:55
69.38
Number of Plays
76.36
5.18
Yards Per Play
6.37
26.31
Total Score
41.43
7.62
First Quarter
9.36
6.77
Second Quarter
15.57
5.00
Third Quarter
9.93
6.38
Fourth Quarter
6.07
191.15
Passing Yards
337.36
31.85
Pass Attempts
38.86
17.54
Pass Completions
26.21
1.54
Sacks
2.43
9.62
Sack Yards
18.36
10.90
Yards Per Pass
12.87
168.00
Rushing Yards
149.14
37.54
Rush Attempts
37.50
4.48
Yards Per Rush
3.98
0.85
Interceptions
0.57
1.69
Fumbles
1.21
0.62
Fumbles Lost
0.57
1.46
Total Turnovers
1.14
6.08
Penalties
6.71
50.54
Penalty Yards
63.86
29:05
Time on Field
30:55
69.38
Number of Plays
76.36
5.18
Yards Per Play
6.37
5.15
Punts
4.43
40.72
Punt Average
40.70
52.62
Return Yards
70.57

Head To Head

CLEM
Stat Type PITT
0-1
Record
1-0
0-1
ATS
1-0
1-0
O/U
1-0
42.00
Score
43.00
50.00
Rush Yds
156.00
70.00
Pass Attempts
38.00
74.29
Completion %
57.89
580.00
Passing Yds
308.00
630
Total Yds
464
3.00
Turnovers
1.00
CLEM
Stat Type PITT
0-1
Record
1-0
0-1
ATS
1-0
1-0
O/U
1-0
42.00
Score
43.00
50.00
Rush Yds
156.00
70.00
Pass Attempts
38.00
74.29
Completion %
57.89
580.00
Passing Yds
308.00
630
Total Yds
464
3.00
Turnovers
1.00
Nov 12/16 (1 of 1)
CLEM
Stat Type PITT
Home
Away
42
Score
43
-21.5
ATS
+21.5
62.5 o
O/U
62.5 u
50
Rush Yds
156
70
Pass Attempts
38
74.29
Completion %
57.89
580
Passing Yds
308
630
Total Yds
464
3
Turnovers
1

Team Records

CLEM
Record PITT
12-0
All
7-5
7-0
Home
5-1
5-0
Away
2-4
0-0
Neutral Site
0-0
6-6
ATS
8-4
2-5
ATS Home
5-1
4-1
ATS Away
3-3
0-0
ATS Neutral Site
0-0
6-6
O/U
5-6
2-5
O/U Home
4-1
4-1
O/U Away
1-5
0-0
O/U Neutral Site
0-0
CLEM
Record PITT
8-0
All
6-2
4-0
Home
4-0
4-0
Away
2-2
0-0
Neutral Site
0-0
6-2
ATS
6-2
2-2
ATS Home
4-0
4-0
ATS Away
2-2
0-0
ATS Neutral Site
0-0
4-4
O/U
4-4
1-3
O/U Home
3-1
3-1
O/U Away
1-3
0-0
O/U Neutral Site
0-0
CLEM
Record PITT
10-0
All
6-4
6-0
Home
4-0
4-0
Away
2-4
0-0
Neutral Site
0-0
6-4
ATS
7-3
2-4
ATS Home
4-0
4-0
ATS Away
3-3
0-0
ATS Neutral Site
0-0
5-5
O/U
4-6
2-4
O/U Home
3-1
3-1
O/U Away
1-5
0-0
O/U Neutral Site
0-0

Gametime Weather

Weather
7:00pm Rain
14ºC / 57ºF
91% Humidity
86% Precipitation
100% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type N/A
Field Image
Arrow Image 8
mph

Injuries

NamePositionInj Desc
No Reported Injuries
NamePositionInj Desc
No Reported Injuries

Last 10 Games

DateOppScoreSULineTotalATSOFF. RUSHOFF. PASSOFF. TOTALDEF. RUSHDEF. PASSDEF. TOTALTO
Nov 24, 2018S.CARO56-35W-26/58.5-L/O351393744905106000
Nov 17, 2018DUKE35-6W-30/60-L/U2082514591041582620
Nov 10, 2018BOST.C27-7W-17.5/52-W/U12929542491041132
Nov 3, 2018LOUISV77-16W-39/61-W/O49216966181231312-1
Oct 27, 2018FLAST59-10W-18/49.5-W/O120404524-21268247-1
Oct 20, 2018NCSU41-7W-18.5/58-W/U91380471104193297-2
Oct 6, 2018WAKE63-3W-20.5/61-W/O471227698175742490
Sep 29, 2018SYRACU27-23W-24.5/65-L/U293176469612503112
Sep 22, 2018GATECH49-21W-16/55.5-W/O248232480146572031
Sep 15, 2018GASOU38-7W-32/49-L/U30928659580601402
View Game Logs
DateOppScoreSULineTotalATSOFF. RUSHOFF. PASSOFF. TOTALDEF. RUSHDEF. PASSDEF. TOTALTO
Nov 24, 2018MI-FL3-24L+5/46-L/U6913120029352345-1
Nov 17, 2018WAKE34-13W-5.5/62-W/U15431647079206285-2
Nov 10, 2018VTECH52-22W-4/53.5-W/O4921626541922404321
Nov 2, 2018VIRGNA23-13W+7/45.5-W/U2546131544205249-1
Oct 27, 2018DUKE54-45W+3/46-W/O484150634223396619-1
Oct 13, 2018NOTRD14-19L+21/55.5-W/U11612624280264344-2
Oct 6, 2018SYRACU44-37W+3.5/58-W/O2651374021771953720
Sep 29, 2018UCF14-45L+13.5/65.5-L/U1091632722403285681
Sep 22, 2018UNC35-38L-3/48-L/O2281744021733134860
Sep 15, 2018GATECH24-19W+3.5/54-W/U13819733532066386-1
View Game Logs