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College Football: Best Friday Night Prop Bets of Week 12

Here are the Week 12 Best College Football Prop Bets you should place.

Friday night's schedule of college football games offers up three less than ideal matchups, but things can get a little more interesting with a wager. If you aren’t feeling strongly about a spread or a total, there are game props you can consider.

Let’s break down some of those options.

Syracuse at Louisville -17.5, O/U 55

There’s not much to say about the Orange. They are 1-7 averaging 18 points per game, rank 123rd in yards per game, average only 4.1 yards per play, can’t pass (177 passing yards per game), can’t run (86 rushing yards per game), and can’t defend their quarterbacks.

Combined, all three QBs who have seen action this season have been sacked 32 times and have thrown for 10 interceptions. This is not a good team and that’s not just on offense. Defensively, they are 107th in total defense, 114th in rushing defense, allow 223 rushing yards per game on 4.8 yards per rush, and have given up 31 points scored per game.

Syracuse's opponent this week haven't fared much better over course of the season. Louisville (2–6) is 32nd in total offense, even with a much better quarterback in Malik Cunningham, who has thrown for 1,907 yards, completed 63 percent of his passes, averaged 8.6 yards per pass, and has 15 touchdowns with nine interceptions. The run game is also largely better as the Cardinals have a rushing unit with more than 1,600 yards, averaging 5.5 yards per rush, and a combined 14 touchdowns.

The one thing the ‘Cuse does have going for them is that they are really good at takeaways, 16th best in fact. They have forced eight fumbles, nine interceptions and have either allowed or given up a defensive touchdown in five instances. This leads to the defensive of special teams touchdown prop at +190, which looks like a fair price against a Louisville team that has thrown nine interceptions and has 13 fumbles with nine lost for a -12-turnover ratio.

Game Prop: Defensive or special teams touchdown scored – YES +190

New Mexico at Air Force -8.5, 55.5

It’s interesting to me that the line has dropped. Air Force opened as a 10.5-point favorite and the line now sits at 8.5 with no change to the game total. I think you see two losing teams and certainly one can’t be better than the other, but perhaps that could be the reason for the change: perception.

Through three games, Air Force has the No. 1 rushing attack, averaging 330 rushing yards per game and is ranked sixth in rushing yards per attempt (5.9). The three teams New Mexico has faced are San Jose State, Hawaii, and Nevada, which rank 104th, 77th, and 117th in rushing yards per game, respectively. Expect this Air Force running back corps to have a big game.

That being said, this could be a bit of a slow-paced match and history is indicative of that. Against Navy, the first score came eight minutes into the game. Against San Jose State, the first score didn’t come until the third quarter!

Against Boise, the Broncos scored pretty fast, but Air Force had a five-minute drive to answer back. New Mexico has had pretty similar results. The first score against San Jose State didn’t come until the final 30 seconds of the first quarter and the same against Nevada. With slow offenses and a run team that can extend drives, taking the OVER six minutes for time of first score — at +129 — looks good.

We could be in trouble here if the Falcons run offense slices through New Mexico’s defense like butter, but Air Force hasn’t played in nearly a month. Their last game was October 31 so perhaps a little rust will stall things for a bit.

Game Prop: Time Of First Score OVER Six Minutes (+129)