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Harry’s College Football Championship Game Play & Props

Harry's College Championship Play & Props

Clemson vs LSU -6

Clemson +6

The college football season comes to a close on Monday, January 13, in what should be an epic battle between the Tigers of LSU and Clemson. After what we saw two weeks ago, LSU seems to be the logical play, but who even said I was logical.

Despite the astonishing numbers LSU quarterback Joe Burrow and the rest of his team put up this year, I’m still leaning to the defending champs Clemson and head coach Dabo Sweeney. I don’t believe we saw the best Clemson had to offer against the Buckeyes and let’s not forget this team has won 29 in a row and 35 of 36 games, and this isn’t their first rodeo and it kind of is for LSU.

Last year, quarterback Trevor Lawrence and his teammates outscored Notre Dame and Alabama 74-19 in the postseason, and Lawrence is 25-0 as a starter. Since 2012, Clemson is 9-2 straight up in the postseason with three wins over Ohio State (by a combined 42 points), two wins over Oklahoma (by a combined 54 points), and two wins over Nick Saban and the Crimson Tide (by a combined 32 points), and in 2012 beat LSU 25-24 in the Peach Bowl in their last head-to-head meeting.

I just feel we are going to see the best Clemson has to offer and even though LSU will put up points, I think Clemson gets it done and officially takes over as the kings of college football.

Prediction: Clemson 38, LSU 34

Championship Game Props

Longest Touchdown of the Game O/U 65.5 Yards -115

You would think with all the points these two powerhouses put up during the season that they would have had some huge scoring plays. Well, yes, they have obviously, but in terms of distance, not as many as you might think.

Something we must remember going into this game is that these schools have studs on defense as well. Clemson is led by linebacker Isaiah Simmons (130 tackles, 7.5 sacks) and LSU’s secondary is led by Grant Delpit, Derek Stingley Jr. and Kary Vincent, who combined for 12 interceptions.

Clemson has four touchdowns of more than 65 yards, with the latest being the 67-yard run by Trevor Lawrence against Ohio State that got them right back in their game. But the other three happened against non-bowl squads (Georgia Tech, Syracuse and Charlotte).

LSU has scored 684 points this season but wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase has the only two TDs longer than 65 yards for the team (vs Arkansas and Texas A&M).

This is a situation where the defenses will bend but not break and drives will be established and I can’t see either side slipping up to yield a touchdown of this length.

Pick: UNDER 65.5 Yards for Longest Touchdown

QB Passing Yards: Joe Burrow, LSU 365.5 yards -115, Trevor Lawrence, Clemson 295.5 yards -115

Without being a brain surgeon, it’s probably not a smart play to take any bet that involves Joe Burrow going UNDER the number. However, in Burrow’s last 10 games, he has eclipsed that 365-yard plateau only three times, though we must take into consideration that LSU was up so much that he didn’t finish games. In the championship game, Burrow will be facing a top-five defense, but I still can’t go UNDER. He is just that good.

Pick: OVER 365.5 Passing Yards for LSU’s Joe Burrow

It wouldn’t be a smart move for Lawrence to get into a shootout with Burrow. Lawrence needs to just control the tempo of the game and make plays when he needs to, but also let much of the offense fall on running back Travis Etienne’s shoulders. Clemson should run plays as slowly as they can and keep the ball out of Burrow’s hands and try to kill the clock. Lawrence’s biggest output of the season was in Syracuse where he had 395 yards passing, but he only went over 295 one other time during the season.

Pick: UNDER 295.5 Passing Yards for Clemson’s Trevor Lawrence