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College Football Free Pick from Linebacker: Memphis vs Wake Forest

Memphis Wake Forest Linebacker Free Pick

Memphis Tigers vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons (MEM -3.5, O/U 73)

The Memphis Tigers will play their third bowl game in as many years against Wake Forest on Saturday. The Tigers are currently listed as 3.5-point favorites in the Birmingham Bowl, and we think they have a good chance to cover the spread. The Linebacker projects Memphis will win by a score of 40.6 - 31.5, giving us a solid play on the Tigers. The Linebacker suggests a $113 wager on MEM -3.5 for a $100 average bettor.

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Why will Memphis cover the spread?

  • Despite Darrell Henderson sitting out of this game for Memphis, the Tigers should still dominate in the running game. Wake Forest is 91st in the country with 191.3 yards allowed per game, with a gaudy 4.85 yards allowed per carry. Memphis ranked third in the nation with 285.5 rushing yards per game.
  • Henderson’s backup Patrick Taylor Jr. should be more than capable of filling in. He carried the ball 178 times this season (only 36 fewer than Henderson) and averaged 5.7 yards per carry. Taylor reached the end zone 15 times this season, so look for him to excel in his expanded role.
  • The Demon Deacons will look to attack on the ground as well considering they are the 25th-ranked rushing team and are starting backup QB Jamie Newman. Wake Forest averaged 214.8 yards per game on the ground but is much less efficient than the Tigers. Wake has averaged 4.48 yards per carry this season while Memphis is at 6.60. Memphis’ run defense is also above average, ranking 54th with 4.2 yards allowed per carry.
  • Memphis has been extremely efficient in its passing offense this season despite throwing on just 41.5 percent of its plays. The Tigers’ 13.4 yards per completion ranks 30th in the country, while Wake Forest has hemorrhaged yards in the passing game this season. It ranks 120th among 129 teams, having allowed 274 passing yards per game alongside a 62.93 percent completion rate, which ranks 92nd.

Memphis vs Wake Forest: How to bet the total

The Linebacker projects a final score of 40.6 - 31.5 in favor of Memphis. With 72.1 projected points and an OVER/UNDER of 73, we have no suggestion for betting the total in this game.

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