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College football Odds for Week 6

There are a handful of huge games on the college football odds menu this weekend, including a massive Big Ten matchup that pushes Michigan vs Michigan State odds to the top of the pecking order.

No. 17 Michigan State at No. 18 Michigan; Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET
Point Spread: Michigan -4.5 | Total: 65.5 at Bovada | {URL=https://www.oddsshark.com/Stats/Matchup/Football/NCAAF/27722}Matchup Report {/URL}

Michigan (5-0, 3-1 ATS) is flying higher than anyone expected, and Denard Robinson deserves most of the thanks. The explosive quarterback racked up another 500 yards from scrimmage in last week’s 42-35 win over Indiana (Michigan failed to cover the 10-point spread but went over the total of 65.5).

The defense has some serious work to do after giving up 35 points to the Hoosiers, however. Ben Chappell threw for 480 yards and three touchdowns.

The Spartans (5-0, 2-2 ATS) proved they belong in the Top 25 with a 34-24 win over Wisconsin. Michigan State came through as a 2.5-point underdog and went over the 54.5-point spread. MSU racked up 444 yards of offense and did a marvelous job with both the run and pass.

Nobody has had an answer for Denard Robinson yet this season, but the Wolverines “D” hasn’t had an answer for anybody else, either. Michigan has gone over the total in three of its last four, so you can probably pencil that in. This is going to be a shootout, and after getting beaten up by Indiana, Michigan is in trouble against a good MSU offense.

We take the Spartans in an upset.

No. 12 LSU at No. 14 Florida; Saturday at 7:30 p.m. ET
Point Spread: Florida -6.5 | Total: 42 at Bovada | {URL=https://www.oddsshark.com/Stats/Matchup/Football/NCAAF/27715}Matchup Report {/URL}

Despite regular bouts of incompetency from the coaching staff, LSU (5-0, 2-3 ATS) is undefeated. The Tigers were 16.5-point favorites against Tennessee last week but settled for a 16-14 win. There’s no getting around it; the only thing worse than LSU’s coaching has been its quarterbacking duo of Jarrett Lee and Jordan Jefferson.

They combined for no touchdowns and three picks against the Volunteers.

Florida (4-1, 2-2-1 ATS) is trying to recover from a 31-6 beatdown against Alabama (the Gators were eight-point underdogs and went under the 48-point total). With Bama racing to a 24-0 lead, the Gators abandoned the run game and turned to struggling quarterback John Brantley.

How long can the Tigers get lucky and pull out games they don’t deserve to win? Florida has a tremendous coaching advantage in this matchup, and the players will be itching to go after the Alabama loss.

We see the Gators are in line for a big cover and win.

No. 1 Alabama at No. 19 South Carolina; Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET
Point Spread: Alabama -7 | Total: 47.5 at at Bovada | {URL=https://www.oddsshark.com/Stats/Matchup/Football/NCAAF/27728}Matchup Report {/URL}

Alabama (5-0, 4-1 ATS) ate Florida’s soul last week, winning 31-6 and covering as an eight-point favorite. The Crimson Tide has it rolling on both sides of the ball. The ground game is vicious with a ton of players that can hurt you (four different players had at least 20 yards against Florida) and the defense looks borderline unstoppable.

The only “weakness” might be quarterback Greg McElroy, who’s been very efficient and minimized mistakes.

South Carolina (3-1, 2-1 ATS) is coming off its first loss of the season, a 35-27 defeat at Auburn (the Gamecocks were three-point underdogs and went over the total of 48.5). Quarterback Stephen Garcia was yanked after two fourth-quarter fumbles, though he’d already completed over 70 percent of his passes for three touchdowns and no interceptions.

Gamecocks coach Steve Spurrier is flirting with the destruction of his quarterback’s confidence. Throw in a defense that allowed 334 yards to Auburn, and it’s not hard to imagine the Crimson Tide rolling up a similar total-and running away with this game. Alabama wins and covers.