Flag Our Top Sportsbooks
50% BONUS Up To $1000
125% BONUS Up To $2500
50% BONUS Up To $1000
College Football Teams To Fade

This time of year, all the college football talk is about sleepers and bounce-backs and value bets. It’s all positive banter, and frankly, we need to mix in a little negativity. 

So, with the college football season on the horizon, we’re going to break down our college football fades for the 2022 NCAAF season and why you should avoid some of these top teams.

Below, we analyze our best college football fades for win totals and just in general this year, as well as giving you some ways to bet against these faded teams. If you’re looking to improve your college football betting knowledge, check out our Heisman Trophy odds and our updated national championship odds.

2022 College Football Teams To Fade

All the win total lines used below come from BetOnline Sportsbook. If you’re new to the college football scene, check out our handy college football betting guide to help you get in the action. Also, keep an eye on our college football odds page for the latest up-to-date betting lines.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Win Total: O/U 8.5 Wins
Championship Odds: +5000

I actually like the Irish this season, on paper. But Notre Dame has too many things working against them now, with an unproven freshman QB, a major injury to a top WR in Avery Davis, and one of the toughest schedules around.

It’s a lot to ask QB Tyler Buchner to navigate a schedule with four preseason Top 25 teams, including two top-five matchups. With the Irish win total at 8.5, they’ll have to beat a ranked opponent at some point this year. Even if they do manage to snag that victory against Ohio State, BYU, USC or Clemson, Notre Dame will have to be perfect against the rest of their schedule just to hit this OVER. There’s just too much that could go wrong.

On top of the win total UNDER, another place to fade the Irish is in their Week 1 matchup against Ohio State. You can grab the Buckeyes -15.5 over at BetOnline Sportsbook today.

Visit Our Recommended NCAAF Betting Sites

Texas Longhorns

Win Total: O/U 8.5 Wins
Championship Odds: +6600

It seems like an annual tradition that Texas gets overhyped and under-delivers. This year will be no different.

Though the Longhorns sit near the top of Big 12 championship odds, there are already a bunch of questions clouding their season. While top transfer Quinn Ewers was expected to carry the Longhorns to glory this year, he may not even win the QB1 job, with rumors out of camp that Hudson Card is pushing for the spot.

Whichever QB wins out for Texas will have to deal with some tough early-season matchups that could sink their season. Hosting Alabama in Week 2, it’s hard to see Texas starting better than 1-1. And then they’ll have to visit Oklahoma and Oklahoma State before November.

Georgia Bulldogs

Win Total: O/U 10.5 Wins
Championship Odds: +475

It’s probably a little unfair to label the reigning national champions as an overrated college football team, given what Georgia did last season, but we’re going to do it anyway.

The Bulldogs lost 15 players to the NFL draft, the most in modern history, and it’s hard for even the best programs to replace that kind of talent. Questions linger about whether the defense can replicate the historic season from last year and if Stetson Bennett is really the QB to lead this team for an entire year. With a few question marks, a tough SEC schedule  and a high win total to beat, the Bulldogs have no room for error.

If you really want to capitalize on some Georgia overhype, you can grab Oregon +17 for their Week 1 matchup over at our top college football sportsbook.

How To Bet On College Football Fades:

The best way to utilize these college football teams to fade is in a win total futures bet. Every college football team will have a line set for their total wins this season, and you can bet if a team will win more or fewer games than that line.

For example, if the Ohio State Buckeyes have a win total line of 10.5 wins, they would have to win 11 or more games to hit the OVER. If they win 10 or fewer, that’s the UNDER. The best way to fade our suggested teams is to hammer that UNDER on the win total.

Place Your College Football Bets Now